Lorenzo
Milani
LBItaly · Heracles Almelo
Player dossierEredivisie
LorenzoMilani
LBLeft-BackDefender
- Club
- Heracles Almelo
- League
- Eredivisie
- Nationality
- Italy
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 178 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 2 Dec 2025
EredivisieReading the valuation
The market values Milani at €175k. Model A, which never saw Milani during training, estimates €276k: the market value is 37% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.58. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €369k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 10
- Minutes
- 483
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 5/10
- Min / app
- 48
- Cards
- 1Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Milani…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €175k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
0% this player0% defender median30th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Dec 2019
- Peak
- €350k
- Dec 2022
- Model target
- €175k
- Dec 2025
- Valuations
- 13
- 3 club changes
Dec 2025: €175k, Heracles Almelo. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2019-12-13 | €50k | US Grosseto 1912 |
| 2020-06-26 | €75k | US Grosseto 1912 |
| 2021-01-11 | €100k | US Città di Pontedera |
| 2021-06-21 | €150k | US Città di Pontedera |
| 2021-12-21 | €250k | US Città di Pontedera |
| 2022-06-21 | €300k | US Città di Pontedera |
| 2022-12-21 | €350k | Delfino Pescara 1936 |
| 2023-06-21 | €325k | Delfino Pescara 1936 |
| 2023-12-21 | €300k | Delfino Pescara 1936 |
| 2024-06-18 | €300k | Delfino Pescara 1936 |
| 2024-12-17 | €275k | Heracles Almelo |
| 2025-05-28 | €225k | Heracles Almelo |
| 2025-12-02 | €175k | Heracles Almelo |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.456
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Eredivisie425 players · median €1M
Valued above 2% of the 425 Eredivisie players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 5% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Milani appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- BrunsAMHeracles Almelo · Eredivisie€175k
- WolfswinkelCFFC Twente Enschede · Eredivisie€200k
- NuytinckCBNEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie€200k
- ToornstraAMSparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie€200k
- TriantafyllopoulosCBAsteras Aktor · defenders€175k
- RandallRBRoss County FC · defenders€175k
- DentakisRBAthens Kallithea · defenders€175k
- BenedyukRBIngulets Petrove · defenders€175k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).