FairValue

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Portrait of Edon Zhegrova

Edon

Zhegrova

RWKosovo · Juventus FC

№ 496857Elite €7.4M +0.29

Close-up

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierSerie A

EdonZhegrova

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Juventus FC
League
Serie A
Nationality
Kosovo
Age
27
Height
180 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Zhegrova at €10M. Model A, which never saw Zhegrova during training, estimates €7.4M: the market value is 34% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.34. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.29A €7.4M▲ +0.78B €4.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
48
Minutes
2,116
Goals
8
Assists
2
Started
18/48
Min / app
44
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Zhegrova…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €10M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €10MModel A €7.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Edon Zhegrova's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 65th, Assists per 90 26th, Minutes, two years 48th, Starts 18th, Minutes, last 365 days 16th, European club minutes 97th65thGoals26thAssists48thMinutes18thStarts16thRecent97thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

35% this player0% attacker median97th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Jul 2017
Peak
€25M
Jun 2024
Model target
€10M
May 2026
Valuations
24
3 club changes
May 2026€10MJuventus FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €10M, Juventus FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-07-25€150kKRC Genk
2018-01-09€700kKRC Genk
2018-06-03€700kKRC Genk
2018-09-11€1.5MKRC Genk
2018-12-27€1.5MKRC Genk
2019-06-04€1.5MFC Basel 1893
2020-01-06€1.5MFC Basel 1893
2020-04-08€1.3MFC Basel 1893
2020-12-28€1.5MFC Basel 1893
2021-06-23€2MFC Basel 1893
2022-01-03€2MFC Basel 1893
2022-03-23€4MLOSC Lille
2022-05-30€5MLOSC Lille
2022-11-02€5MLOSC Lille
2023-03-27€7MLOSC Lille
2023-06-27€8MLOSC Lille
2023-12-18€10MLOSC Lille
2024-03-19€15MLOSC Lille
2024-06-03€25MLOSC Lille
2024-12-10€25MLOSC Lille
2025-06-03€25MLOSC Lille
2025-12-23€20MJuventus FC
2026-03-24€14MJuventus FC
2026-05-29€10MJuventus FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.295

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 65% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€10MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 77% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€10MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Zhegrova appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).