FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Devis

Vásquez

GKColombia · Besiktas JK

№ 495722Emerging €1.5M +0.02

Player dossierSüper Lig

DevisVásquez

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Besiktas JK
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Colombia
Age
28
Height
195 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Vásquez at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Vásquez during training, estimates €1.5M: the market value is 2% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.02. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.02A €1.5M▼ −0.17B €1.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
35
Minutes
3,150
Started
35/35
Min / app
90
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Vásquez…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.5MModel A €1.5M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Devis Vásquez's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 59th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 8th, European club minutes 32nd59thMinutes62ndStarts8thRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile

70%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Oct 2018
Peak
€4M
Dec 2024
Model target
€1.5M
May 2026
Valuations
17
8 club changes
May 2026€1.5MBesiktas JKValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.5M, Besiktas JK. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-10-09€50kBoyacá Patriotas FC
2020-03-02€50kClub Guaraní U23
2021-02-04€100kClub Guaraní
2021-06-28€100kClub Guaraní
2021-12-09€100kClub Guaraní
2022-06-15€400kClub Guaraní
2022-11-30€350kClub Guaraní
2023-06-15€350kAC Milan
2023-12-21€300kSheffield Wednesday
2024-06-03€300kAscoli Calcio
2024-10-18€2.5MFC Empoli
2024-12-18€4MFC Empoli
2025-03-25€2MFC Empoli
2025-06-17€2MFC Empoli
2025-10-07€1.5MAS Roma
2025-12-23€1.5MAS Roma
2026-05-21€1.5MBesiktas JK

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.015

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 52% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 55% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Vásquez appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).