FairValue

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Antonio

Blanco

DMSpain · Deportivo Alavés

№ 495621Elite €13.4M −0.29

Player dossierLaLiga

AntonioBlanco

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Deportivo Alavés
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Spain
Age
25
Height
176 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Blanco at €10M. Model A, which never saw Blanco during training, estimates €13.4M: the market value is 25% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.34. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €15.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.29A €13.4M▼ −0.43B €15.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
76
Minutes
6,080
Goals
2
Assists
4
Started
70/76
Min / app
80
Cards
20Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Blanco…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €10M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €10MModel A €13.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Antonio Blanco's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 24th, Assists per 90 33rd, Minutes, two years 95th, Starts 90th, Minutes, last 365 days 95th, European club minutes 30th24thGoals33rdAssists95thMinutes90thStarts95thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

6,080 this player2,607 midfielder median95th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,624

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€200k
Sept 2019
Peak
€10M
Jun 2025
Model target
€10M
Jun 2026
Valuations
17
4 club changes
Jun 2026€10MDeportivo AlavésValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €10M, Deportivo Alavés. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-09-10€200kReal Madrid Castilla
2020-02-11€200kReal Madrid Castilla
2020-10-08€200kReal Madrid Castilla
2021-01-08€400kReal Madrid Castilla
2021-03-19€700kReal Madrid Castilla
2021-06-30€5MReal Madrid Castilla
2021-12-30€5MReal Madrid Castilla
2022-06-29€5MReal Madrid Castilla
2022-11-07€3.5MCádiz CF
2023-06-14€2.5MDeportivo Alavés
2023-07-12€5MReal Madrid
2023-12-22€5MDeportivo Alavés
2024-06-07€7.5MDeportivo Alavés
2024-12-27€7.5MDeportivo Alavés
2025-06-09€10MDeportivo Alavés
2025-12-12€10MDeportivo Alavés
2026-06-05€10MDeportivo Alavés

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.290

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 73% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€10MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 78% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€10MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Blanco appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).