FairValue

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Rasmus

Vinderslev

DMDenmark · Sönderjyske Fodbold

№ 495488Emerging €760k −0.08

Player dossierSuperliga

RasmusVinderslev

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Sönderjyske Fodbold
League
Superliga
Nationality
Denmark
Age
28
Height
188 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Vinderslev at €700k. Model A, which never saw Vinderslev during training, estimates €760k: the market value is 8% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.09. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €962k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.08A €760k▼ −0.32B €962k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
41
Minutes
2,683
Goals
2
Assists
2
Started
31/41
Min / app
65
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Vinderslev…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €700k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €700kModel A €760k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Rasmus Vinderslev's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 43rd, Assists per 90 38th, Minutes, two years 52nd, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 28th, European club minutes 30th43rdGoals38thAssists52ndMinutes62ndStarts28thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

76% this player69% midfielder median62nd percentile

7%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jun 2017
Peak
€800k
Dec 2024
Model target
€700k
May 2026
Valuations
20
4 club changes
May 2026€700kSönderjyske FodboldValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €700k, Sönderjyske Fodbold. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-06-21€50kUnknown
2017-12-18€50kSönderjyskE
2018-06-02€150kSönderjyskE
2018-12-21€150kSönderjyskE
2019-06-08€200kSönderjyskE
2019-09-09€250kVendsyssel FF
2019-12-22€250kVendsyssel FF
2020-07-31€250kSönderjyskE
2020-12-23€250kSönderjyskE
2021-06-04€400kSönderjyskE
2021-12-28€350kSönderjyskE
2022-06-20€300kSönderjyskE
2022-12-22€250kSönderjyske Fodbold
2023-06-26€300kSönderjyske Fodbold
2023-12-21€400kSönderjyske Fodbold
2024-06-18€600kSönderjyske Fodbold
2024-12-09€800kSönderjyske Fodbold
2025-06-16€800kSönderjyske Fodbold
2025-12-15€700kSönderjyske Fodbold
2026-05-25€700kSönderjyske Fodbold

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.082

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 39% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 23% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Vinderslev appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).