FairValue

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Franco

Israel

GKUruguay · Torino FC

№ 492319Established €3.2M −0.24

Player dossierSerie A

FrancoIsrael

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Torino FC
League
Serie A
Nationality
Uruguay
Age
26
Height
190 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Israel at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Israel during training, estimates €3.2M: the market value is 22% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.27. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.24A €3.2M▼ −0.36B €3.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
31
Minutes
2,790
Started
31/31
Min / app
90
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Israel…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.5MModel A €3.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Franco Israel's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 50th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 35th, European club minutes 90th50thMinutes62ndStarts35thRecent90thEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

26% this player0% goalkeeper median90th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●86%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€400k
May 2019
Peak
€7M
Dec 2024
Model target
€2.5M
May 2026
Valuations
19
3 club changes
May 2026€2.5MTorino FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2.5M, Torino FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-05-23€400kJuventus Primavera
2019-06-17€500kJuventus Primavera
2020-04-08€450kJuventus Primavera
2020-06-26€600kJuventus Primavera
2021-01-11€600kJuventus U23
2021-06-21€600kJuventus U23
2021-12-20€600kJuventus U23
2022-06-20€1MJuventus U23
2022-11-01€1MSporting CP
2023-06-16€2.5MSporting CP
2023-12-27€2.5MSporting CP
2024-06-06€3.5MSporting CP
2024-10-08€5MSporting CP
2024-12-19€7MSporting CP
2025-03-31€6MSporting CP
2025-05-30€5MSporting CP
2025-12-23€3.8MTorino FC
2026-03-24€3MTorino FC
2026-05-29€2.5MTorino FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.243

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 24% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 64% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Israel appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).