Franco
Israel
Player dossierSerie A
FrancoIsrael
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- Torino FC
- League
- Serie A
- Nationality
- Uruguay
- Age
- 26
- Height
- 190 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 29 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Israel at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Israel during training, estimates €3.2M: the market value is 22% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.27. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 31
- Minutes
- 2,790
- Started
- 31/31
- Min / app
- 90
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Israel…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
26% this player0% goalkeeper median90th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €400k
- May 2019
- Peak
- €7M
- Dec 2024
- Model target
- €2.5M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 19
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €2.5M, Torino FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2019-05-23 | €400k | Juventus Primavera |
| 2019-06-17 | €500k | Juventus Primavera |
| 2020-04-08 | €450k | Juventus Primavera |
| 2020-06-26 | €600k | Juventus Primavera |
| 2021-01-11 | €600k | Juventus U23 |
| 2021-06-21 | €600k | Juventus U23 |
| 2021-12-20 | €600k | Juventus U23 |
| 2022-06-20 | €1M | Juventus U23 |
| 2022-11-01 | €1M | Sporting CP |
| 2023-06-16 | €2.5M | Sporting CP |
| 2023-12-27 | €2.5M | Sporting CP |
| 2024-06-06 | €3.5M | Sporting CP |
| 2024-10-08 | €5M | Sporting CP |
| 2024-12-19 | €7M | Sporting CP |
| 2025-03-31 | €6M | Sporting CP |
| 2025-05-30 | €5M | Sporting CP |
| 2025-12-23 | €3.8M | Torino FC |
| 2026-03-24 | €3M | Torino FC |
| 2026-05-29 | €2.5M | Torino FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.243
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Serie A507 players · median €5.5M
Valued above 24% of the 507 Serie A players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 64% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Israel appears
- TerminalSerie A in the Player Explorer
- TerminalSerie A on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- ZapataCFTorino FC · Serie A€2.5M
- LazaroRMTorino FC · Serie A€2.5M
- MalinovskyiCMGenoa CFC · Serie A€2.5M
- MarusicRBSS Lazio · Serie A€2.5M
- BaumannGKTSG 1899 Hoffenheim · goalkeepers€2.5M
- RoefGKKAA Gent · goalkeepers€2.5M
- MvogoGKFC Lorient · goalkeepers€2.5M
- ZentnerGK1.FSV Mainz 05 · goalkeepers€2.5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).


