FairValue

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Portrait of Nehuén Pérez

Nehuén

Pérez

CBArgentina · FC Porto

№ 491693Elite €6.7M +0.58

Close-up

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierLiga Portugal

NehuénPérez

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
FC Porto
League
Liga Portugal
Nationality
Argentina
Age
25
Height
186 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Pérez at €12M. Model A, which never saw Pérez during training, estimates €6.7M: the market value is 79% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.79. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.58A €6.7M▲ +0.88B €5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
46
Minutes
3,711
Goals
2
Assists
2
Started
42/46
Min / app
81
Cards
16Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Pérez…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €12M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €12MModel A €6.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Nehuén Pérez's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 63rd, Assists per 90 56th, Minutes, two years 65th, Starts 73rd, Minutes, last 365 days 9th, European club minutes 87th63rdGoals56thAssists65thMinutes73rdStarts9thRecent87thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

22% this player0% defender median87th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€500k
Dec 2018
Peak
€13M
Jun 2024
Model target
€12M
May 2026
Valuations
22
6 club changes
May 2026€12MFC PortoValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €12M, FC Porto. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-12-18€500kAA Argentinos Juniors
2019-02-28€2.5MAtlético de Madrid
2019-06-11€2.5MAtlético de Madrid
2019-10-11€3.5MFC Famalicão
2019-12-30€7.5MFC Famalicão
2020-04-08€6.7MFC Famalicão
2020-08-17€7.5MAtlético de Madrid
2020-10-08€7.5MGranada CF
2021-01-05€4.5MGranada CF
2021-06-10€4MGranada CF
2021-12-28€4MUdinese Calcio
2022-03-15€5MUdinese Calcio
2022-06-07€6MUdinese Calcio
2022-11-11€8MUdinese Calcio
2023-06-15€10MUdinese Calcio
2023-12-20€10MUdinese Calcio
2024-03-12€12MUdinese Calcio
2024-06-05€13MUdinese Calcio
2024-12-19€13MFC Porto
2025-05-30€13MFC Porto
2025-12-18€13MFC Porto
2026-05-28€12MFC Porto

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.583

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M

Valued above 88% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€12MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 84% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€12MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Pérez appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).