Alexander
Satariano
CFMalta · Athens Kallithea
Player dossierSuper League
AlexanderSatariano
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- Athens Kallithea
- League
- Super League
- Nationality
- Malta
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 184 cm
- Foot
- Both
- Valued
- 11 May 2026
Super LeagueReading the valuation
The market values Satariano at €300k. Model A, which never saw Satariano during training, estimates €449k: the market value is 33% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.50. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €998k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 7
- Minutes
- 480
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 6/7
- Min / app
- 69
- Cards
- 1Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Satariano…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €300k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
38% this player0% attacker median97th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €150k
- Dec 2018
- Peak
- €350k
- May 2025
- Model target
- €300k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 15
- 6 club changes
May 2026: €300k, Athens Kallithea. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-21 | €150k | St. Andrews FC |
| 2019-06-06 | €150k | St. Andrews FC |
| 2019-11-25 | €150k | Sliema Wanderers |
| 2020-11-25 | €225k | Sliema Wanderers |
| 2021-04-20 | €225k | Sliema Wanderers |
| 2021-12-29 | €200k | Frosinone Calcio |
| 2022-06-20 | €150k | US Pergolettese 1932 |
| 2022-11-22 | €200k | Balzan FC |
| 2023-05-17 | €250k | Balzan FC |
| 2023-12-05 | €250k | Birkirkara FC |
| 2024-05-24 | €250k | Birkirkara FC |
| 2024-11-01 | €300k | Birkirkara FC |
| 2025-05-19 | €350k | Birkirkara FC |
| 2025-12-29 | €350k | Athens Kallithea |
| 2026-05-11 | €300k | Athens Kallithea |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.403
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Super League356 players · median €600k
Valued above 20% of the 356 Super League players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 8% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Satariano appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- PaschalakisGKOlympiacos Piraeus · Super League€300k
- MavriasRBPanetolikos · Super League€300k
- BouchalakisCMPanetolikos · Super League€300k
- ChouchoumisLBAE Kifisia · Super League€300k
- TosunCFKasimpasa · attackers€300k
- ZabolotnyiCFSpartak Moscow · attackers€300k
- LinssenCFNEC Nijmegen · attackers€300k
- ForrestRWCeltic FC · attackers€300k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).