Lucas
Bergström
GKFinland · RCD Mallorca
Player dossierLaLiga
LucasBergström
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- RCD Mallorca
- League
- LaLiga
- Nationality
- Finland
- Age
- 23
- Height
- 205 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 5 Jun 2026
LaLigaReading the valuation
The market values Bergström at €1.4M. Model A, which never saw Bergström during training, estimates €1.1M: the market value is 31% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.31. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €626k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 7
- Minutes
- 630
- Started
- 7/7
- Min / app
- 90
- Cards
- 1Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Bergström…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.4M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €250k
- Jul 2022
- Peak
- €1.5M
- Dec 2025
- Model target
- €1.4M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 8
- 4 club changes
Jun 2026: €1.4M, RCD Mallorca. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-07-29 | €250k | Peterborough United |
| 2023-10-09 | €500k | Chelsea FC |
| 2023-12-19 | €800k | Chelsea FC |
| 2024-06-13 | €700k | IF Brommapojkarna |
| 2024-12-16 | €700k | Chelsea FC |
| 2025-05-30 | €700k | Chelsea FC |
| 2025-12-12 | €1.5M | RCD Mallorca |
| 2026-06-05 | €1.4M | RCD Mallorca |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.273
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 54% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Bergström appears
- TerminalLaLiga in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLaLiga on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- RodríguezLBReal Betis Balompié · LaLiga€1.4M
- DjenéCBGetafe CF · LaLiga€1.4M
- LatoLBRCD Mallorca · LaLiga€1.4M
- MoreyRBRCD Mallorca · LaLiga€1.4M
- ChristensenGKACF Fiorentina · goalkeepers€1.4M
- HradeckyGKAS Monaco · goalkeepers€1.5M
- BizotGKAston Villa · goalkeepers€1.5M
- ButlandGKRangers FC · goalkeepers€1.5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).