FairValue

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Portrait of Conor Gallagher

Conor

Gallagher

CMEngland · Tottenham Hotspur

№ 488362World Class €21.8M +0.38

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

ConorGallagher

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Tottenham Hotspur
League
Premier League
Nationality
England
Age
26
Height
182 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Gallagher at €32M. Model A, which never saw Gallagher during training, estimates €21.8M: the market value is 47% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.47. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €38.9M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.38A €21.8M▼ −0.19B €38.9M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
95
Minutes
4,851
Goals
8
Assists
8
Started
51/95
Min / app
51
Cards
8Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Gallagher…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €32M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €32MModel A €21.8M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Conor Gallagher's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 72nd, Assists per 90 70th, Minutes, two years 85th, Starts 26th, Minutes, last 365 days 77th, European club minutes 82nd72ndGoals70thAssists85thMinutes26thStarts77thRecent82ndEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

4,851 this player2,607 midfielder median85th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,624

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€2M
Oct 2019
Peak
€50M
May 2024
Model target
€32M
Jun 2026
Valuations
21
8 club changes
Jun 2026€32MTottenham HotspurValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €32M, Tottenham Hotspur. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-10-17€2MCharlton Athletic
2020-02-27€6MSwansea City
2020-04-08€5.4MSwansea City
2020-10-13€5.4MWest Bromwich Albion
2020-12-17€10MWest Bromwich Albion
2021-03-18€12MWest Bromwich Albion
2021-06-08€15MChelsea FC U23
2021-12-23€22MCrystal Palace
2022-03-29€25MCrystal Palace
2022-06-15€25MChelsea FC U23
2022-09-15€30MChelsea FC
2022-11-03€32MChelsea FC
2023-06-20€32MChelsea FC
2023-10-09€40MChelsea FC
2023-12-19€42MChelsea FC
2024-03-14€48MChelsea FC
2024-05-27€50MChelsea FC
2024-12-27€40MAtlético de Madrid
2025-06-09€40MAtlético de Madrid
2025-12-12€35MAtlético de Madrid
2026-06-03€32MTottenham Hotspur

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.384

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 78% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€32MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 94% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€32MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Gallagher appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).