Amadou
Onana
DMBelgium · Aston Villa
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierPremier League
AmadouOnana
DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Aston Villa
- League
- Premier League
- Nationality
- Belgium
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 195 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 3 Jun 2026
Premier LeagueReading the valuation
The market values Onana at €45M. Model A, which never saw Onana during training, estimates €45.3M: the market value is 1% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.01. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €24.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 70
- Minutes
- 4,593
- Goals
- 7
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 56/70
- Min / app
- 66
- Cards
- 8Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Onana…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €45M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
22% this player0% midfielder median88th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €400k
- Jul 2020
- Peak
- €55M
- Oct 2024
- Model target
- €45M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 22
- 3 club changes
Jun 2026: €45M, Aston Villa. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-07-15 | €400k | Hamburger SV |
| 2020-11-18 | €1.5M | Hamburger SV |
| 2021-02-08 | €1.5M | Hamburger SV |
| 2021-06-16 | €3M | Hamburger SV |
| 2021-10-08 | €6M | LOSC Lille |
| 2021-12-16 | €8M | LOSC Lille |
| 2022-03-23 | €10M | LOSC Lille |
| 2022-05-30 | €10M | LOSC Lille |
| 2022-09-15 | €30M | Everton FC |
| 2022-11-03 | €35M | Everton FC |
| 2023-03-16 | €42M | Everton FC |
| 2023-06-20 | €45M | Everton FC |
| 2023-10-09 | €50M | Everton FC |
| 2023-12-19 | €50M | Everton FC |
| 2024-05-27 | €50M | Everton FC |
| 2024-10-01 | €55M | Aston Villa |
| 2024-12-16 | €55M | Aston Villa |
| 2025-05-30 | €50M | Aston Villa |
| 2025-10-17 | €42M | Aston Villa |
| 2025-12-09 | €42M | Aston Villa |
| 2026-03-09 | €45M | Aston Villa |
| 2026-06-03 | €45M | Aston Villa |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.006
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier League555 players · median €18M
Valued above 86% of the 555 Premier League players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 97% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Onana appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- DonnarummaGKManchester City · Premier League€45M
- RomeroCBTottenham Hotspur · Premier League€45M
- KonatéCBLiverpool FC · Premier League€45M
- LivramentoRBNewcastle United · Premier League€45M
- StillerDMVfB Stuttgart · midfielders€45M
- HjulmandDMSporting CP · midfielders€45M
- GarnerDMEverton FC · midfielders€45M
- ÉdersonCMAtalanta BC · midfielders€45M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).