Josip
Stanisic
RBCroatia · Bayern Munich
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierBundesliga
JosipStanisic
RBRight-BackDefender
- Club
- Bayern Munich
- League
- Bundesliga
- Nationality
- Croatia
- Age
- 26
- Height
- 187 cm
- Foot
- Both
- Valued
- 27 May 2026
BundesligaReading the valuation
The market values Stanisic at €40M. Model A, which never saw Stanisic during training, estimates €28.2M: the market value is 42% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.42. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €10.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 68
- Minutes
- 4,833
- Goals
- 3
- Assists
- 9
- Started
- 53/68
- Min / app
- 71
- Cards
- 4Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Stanisic…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €40M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
33% this player0% defender median96th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €150k
- Jul 2019
- Peak
- €40M
- May 2026
- Model target
- €40M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 21
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €40M, Bayern Munich. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2019-07-12 | €150k | FC Bayern Munich II |
| 2019-12-11 | €150k | FC Bayern Munich II |
| 2020-07-17 | €200k | FC Bayern Munich II |
| 2021-01-20 | €250k | FC Bayern Munich II |
| 2021-03-26 | €300k | FC Bayern Munich II |
| 2021-06-09 | €400k | FC Bayern Munich II |
| 2021-10-07 | €3.5M | Bayern Munich |
| 2021-12-22 | €4M | Bayern Munich |
| 2022-06-09 | €4M | Bayern Munich |
| 2022-09-21 | €8M | Bayern Munich |
| 2022-11-09 | €8M | Bayern Munich |
| 2023-03-29 | €12M | Bayern Munich |
| 2023-06-22 | €12M | Bayern Munich |
| 2023-12-14 | €10M | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
| 2024-03-27 | €18M | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
| 2024-05-29 | €28M | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
| 2024-12-20 | €28M | Bayern Munich |
| 2025-06-05 | €32M | Bayern Munich |
| 2025-12-19 | €32M | Bayern Munich |
| 2026-03-20 | €35M | Bayern Munich |
| 2026-05-27 | €40M | Bayern Munich |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.349
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Bundesliga451 players · median €5M
Valued above 93% of the 451 Bundesliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 97% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Stanisic appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- KobelGKBorussia Dortmund · Bundesliga€40M
- BaumgartnerAMRB Leipzig · Bundesliga€40M
- DaviesLBBayern Munich · Bundesliga€40M
- AdeyemiRWBorussia Dortmund · Bundesliga€40M
- ChalobahCBChelsea FC · defenders€40M
- KonsaCBAston Villa · defenders€40M
- GarcíaCBFC Barcelona · defenders€40M
- MartínezCBManchester United · defenders€40M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).