David
Strelec
CFSlovakia · Middlesbrough FC
Player dossierPremier League
DavidStrelec
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- Middlesbrough FC
- League
- Premier League
- Nationality
- Slovakia
- Age
- 25
- Height
- 185 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
Premier LeagueReading the valuation
The market values Strelec at €8M. Model A, which never saw Strelec during training, estimates €2.3M: the market value is 250% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×3.50. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 6
- Minutes
- 479
- Goals
- 4
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 5/6
- Min / app
- 80
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Strelec…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €8M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
100% this player0% attacker median100th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €75k
- Dec 2018
- Peak
- €8M
- Jun 2025
- Model target
- €8M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 19
- 4 club changes
May 2026: €8M, Middlesbrough FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-30 | €75k | Slovan Bratislava |
| 2019-06-25 | €150k | Slovan Bratislava |
| 2019-12-15 | €300k | Slovan Bratislava |
| 2020-07-10 | €400k | Slovan Bratislava |
| 2020-12-28 | €700k | Slovan Bratislava |
| 2021-05-31 | €800k | Slovan Bratislava |
| 2021-10-14 | €1.5M | Spezia Calcio |
| 2021-12-28 | €1.5M | Spezia Calcio |
| 2022-06-07 | €1.4M | Spezia Calcio |
| 2022-11-11 | €1.3M | Spezia Calcio |
| 2023-06-12 | €1.1M | Reggina 1914 |
| 2023-12-27 | €1.2M | Slovan Bratislava |
| 2024-06-07 | €2.8M | Slovan Bratislava |
| 2024-09-27 | €3.5M | Slovan Bratislava |
| 2024-12-27 | €4M | Slovan Bratislava |
| 2025-03-11 | €6.5M | Slovan Bratislava |
| 2025-06-20 | €8M | Slovan Bratislava |
| 2025-12-03 | €7.5M | Middlesbrough FC |
| 2026-05-28 | €8M | Middlesbrough FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +1.254
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier League555 players · median €18M
Valued above 27% of the 555 Premier League players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 74% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Strelec appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- XhakaDMSunderland AFC · Premier League€8M
- MaguireCBManchester United · Premier League€8M
- ShawLBManchester United · Premier League€8M
- ChristieCMAFC Bournemouth · Premier League€8M
- GriezmannSSAtlético de Madrid · attackers€8M
- KleindienstCFBorussia Mönchengladbach · attackers€8M
- ZivkovicRWPAOK Thessaloniki · attackers€8M
- BogaLWJuventus FC · attackers€8M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).