FairValue

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Thomas

Gundelund

RBDenmark · Vejle Boldklub

№ 482106Emerging €724k +0.03

Player dossierSuperliga

ThomasGundelund

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
Vejle Boldklub
League
Superliga
Nationality
Denmark
Age
24
Height
180 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Gundelund at €750k. Model A, which never saw Gundelund during training, estimates €724k: the market value is 4% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.04. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €865k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.03A €724k▼ −0.14B €865k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
34
Minutes
2,528
Goals
1
Assists
1
Started
29/34
Min / app
74
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Gundelund…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €750k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €750kModel A €724k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Thomas Gundelund's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 53rd, Assists per 90 48th, Minutes, two years 44th, Starts 56th, Minutes, last 365 days 51st, European club minutes 30th53rdGoals48thAssists44thMinutes56thStarts51stRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

85% this player83% defender median56th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Dec 2018
Peak
€750k
Dec 2025
Model target
€750k
May 2026
Valuations
17
0 club changes
May 2026€750kVejle BoldklubValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €750k, Vejle Boldklub. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-12-21€50kVejle Boldklub
2019-06-08€50kVejle Boldklub
2019-09-09€150kVejle Boldklub
2019-12-22€200kVejle Boldklub
2020-07-31€350kVejle Boldklub
2020-12-23€250kVejle Boldklub
2021-06-04€200kVejle Boldklub
2021-12-28€150kVejle Boldklub
2022-06-20€200kVejle Boldklub
2022-12-22€200kVejle Boldklub
2023-06-26€250kVejle Boldklub
2023-12-21€250kVejle Boldklub
2024-06-10€350kVejle Boldklub
2024-12-09€350kVejle Boldklub
2025-06-16€500kVejle Boldklub
2025-12-15€750kVejle Boldklub
2026-05-25€750kVejle Boldklub

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.035

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 43% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€750kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 28% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€750kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Gundelund appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).