FairValue

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Artem

Dzyuba

CFRussia · Akron Tolyatti

№ 48067Emerging €215k +1.54

Player dossierPremier Liga

ArtemDzyuba

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Akron Tolyatti
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
37
Height
197 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Dzyuba at €1M. Model A, which never saw Dzyuba during training, estimates €215k: the market value is 365% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×4.65. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €357k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +1.54A €215k▲ +1.03B €357k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
50
Minutes
4,036
Goals
18
Assists
12
Started
46/50
Min / app
81
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Dzyuba…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1MModel A €215k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Artem Dzyuba's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 77th, Assists per 90 86th, Minutes, two years 82nd, Starts 96th, Minutes, last 365 days 79th, European club minutes 28th77thGoals86thAssists82ndMinutes96thStarts79thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

92% this player59% attacker median96th percentile

5%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€600k
Mar 2007
Peak
€16M
Jun 2019
Model target
€1M
May 2026
Valuations
46
11 club changes
May 2026€1MAkron TolyattiValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1M, Akron Tolyatti. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2007-03-29€600kSpartak Moscow
2007-11-26€500kSpartak Moscow
2008-09-09€2MSpartak Moscow
2008-12-10€1MSpartak Moscow
2009-08-10€500kTom Tomsk
2009-12-17€750kTom Tomsk
2010-03-13€700kSpartak Moscow
2011-02-03€1.5MSpartak Moscow
2011-07-21€2MSpartak Moscow
2011-12-09€3.2MSpartak Moscow
2012-07-04€5MSpartak Moscow
2013-01-13€5MSpartak Moscow
2013-06-19€4.5MSpartak Moscow
2014-03-28€5MFC Rostov
2014-07-31€6MSpartak Moscow
2015-02-23€7.5MSpartak Moscow
2015-06-18€6MFC Rostov
2016-01-06€9MZenit St. Petersburg
2016-06-01€10MZenit St. Petersburg
2016-07-01€8MZenit St. Petersburg
2016-12-27€9MZenit St. Petersburg
2017-06-01€9MZenit St. Petersburg
2017-10-02€8MZenit St. Petersburg
2017-12-23€6MZenit St. Petersburg
2018-06-06€7MArsenal Tula
2018-07-15€10MZenit St. Petersburg
2018-10-15€11MZenit St. Petersburg
2018-12-20€13MZenit St. Petersburg
2019-06-14€16MZenit St. Petersburg
2019-12-23€16MZenit St. Petersburg
2020-04-08€13MZenit St. Petersburg
2020-07-29€12MZenit St. Petersburg
2020-12-29€12MZenit St. Petersburg
2021-05-26€11MZenit St. Petersburg
2021-09-15€10MZenit St. Petersburg
2021-12-29€9MZenit St. Petersburg
2022-06-02€6MZenit St. Petersburg
2022-10-27€4MAdana Demirspor
2023-06-14€3.5MLokomotiv Moscow
2023-12-13€3MLokomotiv Moscow
2024-03-20€2.8MLokomotiv Moscow
2024-06-04€2MLokomotiv Moscow
2024-12-12€1.8MAkron Tolyatti
2025-06-04€1.5MAkron Tolyatti
2025-12-16€1.2MAkron Tolyatti
2026-05-26€1MAkron Tolyatti

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+1.537

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 44% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 29% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Dzyuba appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).