FairValue

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Dimitris

Emmanouilidis

LWGreece · Asteras Aktor

№ 468036Emerging €738k −0.39

Player dossierSuper League

DimitrisEmmanouilidis

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
Asteras Aktor
League
Super League
Nationality
Greece
Age
25
Height
175 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Emmanouilidis at €500k. Model A, which never saw Emmanouilidis during training, estimates €738k: the market value is 32% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.48. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.39A €738k▼ −0.88B €1.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
46
Minutes
2,611
Goals
8
Assists
1
Started
32/46
Min / app
57
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Emmanouilidis…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €500k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €500kModel A €738k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Dimitris Emmanouilidis's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 52nd, Assists per 90 12th, Minutes, two years 59th, Starts 68th, Minutes, last 365 days 52nd, European club minutes 28th52ndGoals12thAssists59thMinutes68thStarts52ndRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

70% this player59% attacker median68th percentile

5%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Dec 2017
Peak
€800k
Oct 2021
Model target
€500k
Jun 2026
Valuations
20
6 club changes
Jun 2026€500kAsteras AktorValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €500k, Asteras Aktor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-12-18€150kUnknown
2018-05-22€300kUnknown
2018-12-07€500kPanathinaikos
2019-05-21€600kPanathinaikos
2019-12-18€600kPanionios FC
2020-04-08€525kPanionios FC
2020-08-04€700kPanathinaikos
2021-05-19€700kFortuna Sittard
2021-10-06€800kVejle Boldklub
2021-12-28€700kVejle Boldklub
2022-06-20€500kVejle Boldklub
2022-09-13€400kVejle Boldklub
2022-12-22€400kVejle Boldklub
2023-06-26€400kVejle Boldklub
2023-12-21€300kVejle Boldklub
2024-06-10€400kVejle Boldklub
2024-12-09€500kVejle Boldklub
2025-06-16€500kVejle Boldklub
2025-12-12€500kAsteras Aktor
2026-06-04€500kAsteras Aktor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.390

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 43% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 15% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Emmanouilidis appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).