Cristian Cásseres
Jr.
CMVenezuela · FC Toulouse
Player dossierLigue 1
Cristian CásseresJr.
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- FC Toulouse
- League
- Ligue 1
- Nationality
- Venezuela
- Age
- 26
- Height
- 176 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 1 Jun 2026
Ligue 1Reading the valuation
The market values Cristian Cásseres Jr. at €9M. Model A, which never saw Cristian Cásseres Jr. during training, estimates €10.5M: the market value is 14% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.16. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €6.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 62
- Minutes
- 5,204
- Goals
- 3
- Assists
- 7
- Started
- 59/62
- Min / app
- 84
- Cards
- 17Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Cristian Cásseres Jr.…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €9M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
95% this player69% midfielder median93rd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €25k
- Nov 2016
- Peak
- €9M
- Mar 2026
- Model target
- €9M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 26
- 4 club changes
Jun 2026: €9M, FC Toulouse. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2016-11-06 | €25k | Unknown |
| 2017-01-30 | €75k | Unknown |
| 2017-06-30 | €150k | Unknown |
| 2017-10-10 | €200k | Deportivo La Guaira |
| 2017-12-04 | €250k | Deportivo La Guaira |
| 2018-05-01 | €250k | New York Red Bulls II |
| 2018-11-15 | €250k | New York Red Bulls II |
| 2019-02-11 | €250k | New York Red Bulls |
| 2019-05-27 | €400k | New York Red Bulls |
| 2019-11-30 | €750k | New York Red Bulls |
| 2020-04-08 | €675k | New York Red Bulls |
| 2020-08-26 | €750k | New York Red Bulls |
| 2020-12-18 | €2M | New York Red Bulls |
| 2021-06-11 | €3M | New York Red Bulls |
| 2021-07-09 | €3M | New York Red Bulls |
| 2021-11-09 | €3.5M | New York Red Bulls |
| 2022-08-18 | €3.5M | New York Red Bulls |
| 2022-11-08 | €3.5M | New York Red Bulls |
| 2023-10-16 | €3.5M | FC Toulouse |
| 2023-12-18 | €3.5M | FC Toulouse |
| 2024-06-03 | €4M | FC Toulouse |
| 2024-12-10 | €5M | FC Toulouse |
| 2025-06-03 | €6M | FC Toulouse |
| 2025-12-15 | €7M | FC Toulouse |
| 2026-03-27 | €9M | FC Toulouse |
| 2026-06-01 | €9M | FC Toulouse |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.152
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Ligue 1423 players · median €5M
Valued above 63% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 77% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Cristian Cásseres Jr. appears
- TerminalLigue 1 in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLigue 1 on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- EmersonLBOlympique Marseille · Ligue 1€9M
- MangalaDMOlympique Lyon · Ligue 1€9M
- GreifGKOlympique Lyon · Ligue 1€9M
- SahraouiLWLOSC Lille · Ligue 1€9M
- MandragoraDMACF Fiorentina · midfielders€9M
- PrassLMTSG 1899 Hoffenheim · midfielders€9M
- BrescianiniCMACF Fiorentina · midfielders€9M
- MaldiniAMSS Lazio · midfielders€9M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).