FairValue

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Djordje

Petrovic

GKSerbia · AFC Bournemouth

№ 465555Elite €29.1M −0.04

Player dossierPremier League

DjordjePetrovic

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
AFC Bournemouth
League
Premier League
Nationality
Serbia
Age
26
Height
194 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Petrovic at €28M. Model A, which never saw Petrovic during training, estimates €29.1M: the market value is 4% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.04. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €15.9M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.04A €29.1M▲ +0.57B €15.9M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
71
Minutes
6,420
Started
71/71
Min / app
90
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Petrovic…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €28M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €28MModel A €29.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Djordje Petrovic's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 89th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 93rd, European club minutes 32nd89thMinutes62ndStarts93rdRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

3,630 this player1,560 goalkeeper median93rd percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,970

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jul 2018
Peak
€28M
Oct 2025
Model target
€28M
Jun 2026
Valuations
21
6 club changes
Jun 2026€28MAFC BournemouthValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €28M, AFC Bournemouth. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-07-02€100kFK Cukaricki
2019-01-10€100kFK IMT Belgrad
2019-10-28€400kFK Cukaricki
2020-04-08€350kFK Cukaricki
2020-06-28€600kFK Cukaricki
2020-12-22€800kFK Cukaricki
2021-06-12€1MFK Cukaricki
2021-12-25€1.2MFK Cukaricki
2022-08-18€2MNew England Revolution
2022-11-08€2.5MNew England Revolution
2023-03-31€3.5MNew England Revolution
2023-08-22€6MNew England Revolution
2023-10-09€9MChelsea FC
2023-12-19€9MChelsea FC
2024-03-14€15MChelsea FC
2024-05-27€20MChelsea FC
2024-12-10€18MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2025-06-03€20MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2025-10-17€28MAFC Bournemouth
2025-12-09€28MAFC Bournemouth
2026-06-03€28MAFC Bournemouth

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.039

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 69% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€28MSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 97% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€28MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Petrovic appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).