Andri Fannar
Baldursson
DMIceland · Kasimpasa
Player dossierSüper Lig
Andri FannarBaldursson
DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Kasimpasa
- League
- Süper Lig
- Nationality
- Iceland
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 187 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 21 May 2026
Süper LigReading the valuation
The market values Baldursson at €2M. Model A, which never saw Baldursson during training, estimates €3M: the market value is 33% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.50. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €6.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 38
- Minutes
- 3,100
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 2
- Started
- 35/38
- Min / app
- 82
- Cards
- 12Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Baldursson…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
92% this player69% midfielder median90th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €800k
- Aug 2020
- Peak
- €2M
- May 2026
- Model target
- €2M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 16
- 5 club changes
May 2026: €2M, Kasimpasa. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-08-25 | €800k | Bologna FC 1909 |
| 2020-12-29 | €1M | Bologna FC 1909 |
| 2021-06-03 | €1M | Bologna FC 1909 |
| 2021-12-28 | €700k | FC Copenhagen |
| 2022-06-20 | €600k | FC Copenhagen |
| 2022-11-11 | €500k | NEC Nijmegen |
| 2023-06-23 | €500k | NEC Nijmegen |
| 2023-09-13 | €800k | IF Elfsborg |
| 2023-12-08 | €1.5M | IF Elfsborg |
| 2024-06-13 | €1.8M | IF Elfsborg |
| 2024-09-26 | €1.2M | IF Elfsborg |
| 2024-12-20 | €900k | IF Elfsborg |
| 2025-06-17 | €600k | Bologna FC 1909 |
| 2025-10-01 | €1.2M | Kasimpasa |
| 2025-12-17 | €1.5M | Kasimpasa |
| 2026-05-21 | €2M | Kasimpasa |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.405
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M
Valued above 61% of the 428 Süper Lig players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 46% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Baldursson appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- GündoğanCMGalatasaray · Süper Lig€2M
- KocukGKSamsunspor · Süper Lig€2M
- NtchamCMSamsunspor · Süper Lig€2M
- PaalLBAntalyaspor · Süper Lig€2M
- GudeljDMSevilla FC · midfielders€2M
- HazardAMRSC Anderlecht · midfielders€2M
- McGregorDMCeltic FC · midfielders€2M
- KhediraDM1.FC Union Berlin · midfielders€2M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).