FairValue

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Nikita

Kakkoev

CBRussia · FC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod

№ 458387Emerging €675k +0.17

Player dossierPremier Liga

NikitaKakkoev

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
FC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
26
Height
184 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Kakkoev at €800k. Model A, which never saw Kakkoev during training, estimates €675k: the market value is 18% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.18. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.17A €675k▼ −0.38B €1.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
50
Minutes
3,614
Goals
0
Assists
3
Started
39/50
Min / app
72
Cards
9Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kakkoev…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €800kModel A €675k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Nikita Kakkoev's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 69th, Minutes, two years 64th, Starts 40th, Minutes, last 365 days 40th, European club minutes 30th18thGoals69thAssists64thMinutes40thStarts40thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.07 this player0.04 defender median69th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Dec 2016
Peak
€1.2M
Jun 2025
Model target
€800k
May 2026
Valuations
23
4 club changes
May 2026€800kFC Pari Nizhniy NovgorodValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €800k, FC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-12-02€50kZenit St. Petersburg II
2017-06-01€150kZenit 2 St. Petersburg
2017-10-02€250kZenit 2 St. Petersburg
2018-06-06€250kZenit 2 St. Petersburg
2018-12-20€250kZenit 2 St. Petersburg
2019-06-14€300kTom Tomsk
2019-12-23€350kTom Tomsk
2020-04-08€325kTom Tomsk
2020-06-29€325kTom Tomsk
2020-12-29€350kFC Nizhniy Novgorod
2021-05-24€400kFC Nizhniy Novgorod
2021-09-15€600kFC Nizhniy Novgorod
2021-12-29€800kFC Nizhniy Novgorod
2022-06-02€900kFC Nizhniy Novgorod
2022-11-21€900kFC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod
2023-06-14€900kFC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod
2023-12-13€1MFC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod
2024-06-04€1MFC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod
2024-12-12€1MFC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod
2025-06-04€1.2MFC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod
2025-09-18€1MFC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod
2025-12-16€900kFC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod
2026-05-26€800kFC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.169

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 33% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 29% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Kakkoev appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).