Danil
Stepanov
LBRussia · Torpedo Moscow
Player dossierPremier Liga
DanilStepanov
LBLeft-BackDefender
- Club
- Torpedo Moscow
- League
- Premier Liga
- Nationality
- Russia
- Age
- 25
- Height
- 172 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 3 Dec 2025
Reading the valuation
The market values Stepanov at €350k. Model A, which never saw Stepanov during training, estimates €294k: the market value is 19% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.19. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €591k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 20
- Minutes
- 1,112
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 12/20
- Min / app
- 56
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Stepanov…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €350k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
0% this player0% defender median30th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €125k
- Dec 2016
- Peak
- €2M
- Dec 2021
- Model target
- €350k
- Dec 2025
- Valuations
- 23
- 6 club changes
Dec 2025: €350k, Torpedo Moscow. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2016-12-02 | €125k | Unknown |
| 2017-06-01 | €175k | Unknown |
| 2018-06-06 | €125k | Rubin Kazan II |
| 2018-12-20 | €175k | Rubin Kazan II |
| 2019-04-24 | €300k | Rubin Kazan |
| 2019-06-14 | €700k | Rubin Kazan |
| 2019-09-10 | €1.2M | Rubin Kazan |
| 2019-12-23 | €1.2M | Rubin Kazan |
| 2020-04-08 | €1M | Rubin Kazan |
| 2020-07-29 | €1M | Rubin Kazan |
| 2020-12-29 | €1.5M | Rotor Volgograd |
| 2021-06-02 | €1.8M | Rotor Volgograd |
| 2021-12-29 | €2M | Arsenal Tula |
| 2022-06-02 | €2M | Arsenal Tula |
| 2022-12-08 | €1.2M | Arsenal Tula |
| 2023-06-19 | €900k | Arsenal Tula |
| 2023-11-30 | €900k | FC Khimki |
| 2024-06-14 | €1.2M | FC Khimki |
| 2024-09-18 | €800k | FC Khimki |
| 2024-12-12 | €600k | FC Khimki |
| 2025-06-04 | €600k | FC Khimki |
| 2025-09-18 | €500k | Torpedo Moscow |
| 2025-12-03 | €350k | Torpedo Moscow |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.173
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liga412 players · median €1M
Valued above 8% of the 412 Premier Liga players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 12% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Stepanov appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- KovalevRMBaltika Kaliningrad · Premier Liga€350k
- ObukhovGKFakel Voronezh · Premier Liga€350k
- KarapuzovRWUral Yekaterinburg · Premier Liga€350k
- GuzinaCFFC Orenburg · Premier Liga€350k
- GodeauCBSK Beveren · defenders€350k
- CroneRBFC Fredericia · defenders€350k
- SarrRBFC Metz · defenders€350k
- MalyshCBIngulets Petrove · defenders€350k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).