Nikita
Motpan
AMMoldova · Fakel Voronezh
Player dossierPremier Liga
NikitaMotpan
AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Fakel Voronezh
- League
- Premier Liga
- Nationality
- Moldova
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 179 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 25 May 2026
Premier LigaReading the valuation
The market values Motpan at €350k. Model A, which never saw Motpan during training, estimates €475k: the market value is 26% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.36. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €667k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 30
- Minutes
- 1,256
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 11/30
- Min / app
- 42
- Cards
- 5Y 1R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Motpan…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €350k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
0% this player0% midfielder median30th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €75k
- May 2021
- Peak
- €700k
- Oct 2023
- Model target
- €350k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 13
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €350k, Fakel Voronezh. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-05-24 | €75k | FC Balti |
| 2021-10-18 | €200k | FC Balti |
| 2021-12-25 | €200k | FC Balti |
| 2022-05-23 | €300k | FC Balti |
| 2022-12-20 | €250k | Hapoel Haifa |
| 2023-06-08 | €275k | FC Balti |
| 2023-10-05 | €700k | Fakel Voronezh |
| 2023-12-13 | €700k | Fakel Voronezh |
| 2024-06-04 | €700k | Fakel Voronezh |
| 2024-12-12 | €600k | Fakel Voronezh |
| 2025-06-04 | €500k | Fakel Voronezh |
| 2025-12-03 | €400k | Fakel Voronezh |
| 2026-05-25 | €350k | Fakel Voronezh |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.306
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liga412 players · median €1M
Valued above 8% of the 412 Premier Liga players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 10% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Motpan appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- KovalevRMBaltika Kaliningrad · Premier Liga€350k
- ObukhovGKFakel Voronezh · Premier Liga€350k
- KarapuzovRWUral Yekaterinburg · Premier Liga€350k
- GuzinaCFFC Orenburg · Premier Liga€350k
- StaikosDMAE Larisa · midfielders€350k
- JuanpiAMVolos NFC · midfielders€350k
- LyonsCMKilmarnock FC · midfielders€350k
- LuísAMPanetolikos · midfielders€350k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).