FairValue

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Jorge de

Frutos

RWSpain · Rayo Vallecano

№ 455181Elite €7.7M +0.44

Player dossierLaLiga

Jorge deFrutos

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Rayo Vallecano
League
LaLiga
Nationality
Spain
Age
29
Height
173 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Frutos at €12M. Model A, which never saw Frutos during training, estimates €7.7M: the market value is 56% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.56. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €10M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.44A €7.7M▲ +0.19B €10M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
80
Minutes
5,324
Goals
19
Assists
7
Started
63/80
Min / app
67
Cards
7Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Frutos…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €12M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €12MModel A €7.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Jorge de Frutos's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 61st, Assists per 90 39th, Minutes, two years 93rd, Starts 82nd, Minutes, last 365 days 90th, European club minutes 58th61stGoals39thAssists93rdMinutes82ndStarts90thRecent58thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

5,324 this player2,242 attacker median93rd percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●8,788

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Feb 2017
Peak
€15M
Jun 2021
Model target
€12M
Jun 2026
Valuations
25
5 club changes
Jun 2026€12MRayo VallecanoValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €12M, Rayo Vallecano. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-02-02€50kCF Rayo Majadahonda
2017-06-30€50kCF Rayo Majadahonda
2018-01-01€200kCF Rayo Majadahonda
2018-06-30€300kCF Rayo Majadahonda
2019-02-19€300kReal Madrid Castilla
2019-06-29€5MReal Madrid Castilla
2019-12-20€2.5MReal Valladolid CF
2020-04-08€2MRayo Vallecano
2020-10-08€2.5MLevante UD
2021-01-05€4MLevante UD
2021-03-19€8MLevante UD
2021-06-10€15MLevante UD
2021-10-11€12MLevante UD
2021-12-30€12MLevante UD
2022-06-03€10MLevante UD
2022-12-29€8MLevante UD
2023-06-14€8MLevante UD
2023-12-22€5MRayo Vallecano
2024-03-21€4MRayo Vallecano
2024-06-07€4MRayo Vallecano
2024-12-27€4MRayo Vallecano
2025-06-09€4MRayo Vallecano
2025-10-02€12MRayo Vallecano
2025-12-12€12MRayo Vallecano
2026-06-05€12MRayo Vallecano

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.445

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 77% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€12MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 79% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€12MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Frutos appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).