FairValue

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Bruny

Nsimba

CFBelgium · FCV Dender EH

№ 452584Established €1M +0.91

Player dossierPro League

BrunyNsimba

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
FCV Dender EH
League
Pro League
Nationality
Belgium
Age
26
Height
187 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Nsimba at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Nsimba during training, estimates €1M: the market value is 149% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.49. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.4M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.91A €1M▲ +0.04B €2.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
57
Minutes
3,754
Goals
15
Assists
6
Started
43/57
Min / app
66
Cards
9Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Nsimba…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.5MModel A €1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Bruny Nsimba's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 69th, Assists per 90 49th, Minutes, two years 78th, Starts 76th, Minutes, last 365 days 67th, European club minutes 28th69thGoals49thAssists78thMinutes76thStarts67thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

3,754 this player2,242 attacker median78th percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●8,788

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Mar 2020
Peak
€2.5M
Jun 2026
Model target
€2.5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
17
2 club changes
Jun 2026€2.5MFCV Dender EHValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €2.5M, FCV Dender EH. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-03-30€50kRoyal Antwerp FC
2020-10-16€450kRoyal Antwerp FC
2021-03-15€350kRoyal Antwerp FC
2021-06-07€300kRoyal Antwerp FC
2022-01-06€200kRoyal Antwerp FC
2022-04-12€150kRoyal Antwerp FC
2022-11-04€300kRoyal Antwerp FC
2023-05-30€400kSK Beveren
2023-12-28€600kFCV Dender EH
2024-06-20€900kFCV Dender EH
2024-10-02€1.8MFCV Dender EH
2024-12-11€1.8MFCV Dender EH
2025-06-12€2MFCV Dender EH
2025-10-01€1.8MFCV Dender EH
2025-12-10€1.5MFCV Dender EH
2026-03-13€2MFCV Dender EH
2026-06-04€2.5MFCV Dender EH

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.913

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 60% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 48% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Nsimba appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).