FairValue

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Portrait of Christos Tzolis

Christos

Tzolis

LWGreece · Club Brugge KV

№ 451677World Class €33M +0.19

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPro League

ChristosTzolis

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
Club Brugge KV
League
Pro League
Nationality
Greece
Age
24
Height
179 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Tzolis at €40M. Model A, which never saw Tzolis during training, estimates €33M: the market value is 21% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.21. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €59.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.19A €33M▼ −0.40B €59.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
91
Minutes
7,308
Goals
31
Assists
37
Started
85/91
Min / app
80
Cards
13Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Tzolis…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €40M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €40MModel A €33M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Christos Tzolis's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 73rd, Assists per 90 99th, Minutes, two years 99th, Starts 98th, Minutes, last 365 days 100th, European club minutes 92nd73rdGoals99thAssists99thMinutes98thStarts100thRecent92ndEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

4,212 this player1,301 attacker median100th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,703

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€400k
Aug 2020
Peak
€40M
Jun 2026
Model target
€40M
Jun 2026
Valuations
18
5 club changes
Jun 2026€40MClub Brugge KVValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €40M, Club Brugge KV. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-08-04€400kPAOK Thessaloniki
2020-10-12€4MPAOK Thessaloniki
2021-02-12€10MPAOK Thessaloniki
2021-05-30€12MPAOK Thessaloniki
2021-12-23€10MNorwich City
2022-03-29€9MNorwich City
2022-06-15€8MNorwich City
2022-11-11€7MFC Twente Enschede
2023-06-01€5MNorwich City
2023-12-15€5MFortuna Düsseldorf
2024-03-22€7MFortuna Düsseldorf
2024-06-06€10MFortuna Düsseldorf
2024-10-02€12MClub Brugge KV
2024-12-11€18MClub Brugge KV
2025-06-12€25MClub Brugge KV
2025-10-01€30MClub Brugge KV
2025-12-10€30MClub Brugge KV
2026-06-04€40MClub Brugge KV

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.194

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

The highest observed value among 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€40MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 95% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€40MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Tzolis appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).