FairValue

Checking model

Esc

  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
  • EnvironmentTerminalExplore, compare and track players; market, league and model views.
  • EnvironmentStoriesValuations, head-to-heads and research findings, told as stories.
  • TerminalPlayer ExplorerSearch, filter and sort the player export.
  • TerminalComparison StudioTwo to four players on one scale.
  • TerminalWatchlistsNamed collections, kept in this browser.
  • TerminalMarket LandscapeHow observed value is distributed, and where the model drifts.

↑ ↓ to move · Enter to open · Esc to closeLoading player index…

Yehvann

Diouf

GKSenegal · OGC Nice

№ 448632Established €8.1M −0.15

Player dossierLigue 1

YehvannDiouf

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
OGC Nice
League
Ligue 1
Nationality
Senegal
Age
26
Height
188 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
1 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Diouf at €7M. Model A, which never saw Diouf during training, estimates €8.1M: the market value is 14% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.16. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €10.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.15A €8.1M▼ −0.41B €10.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
68
Minutes
6,120
Started
68/68
Min / app
90
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Diouf…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €7M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €7MModel A €8.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Yehvann Diouf's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 87th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 80th, European club minutes 75th87thMinutes62ndStarts80thRecent75thEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

6,120 this player2,790 goalkeeper median87th percentile

450peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,210

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Mar 2017
Peak
€12M
Jun 2025
Model target
€7M
Jun 2026
Valuations
23
2 club changes
Jun 2026€7MOGC NiceValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €7M, OGC Nice. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-03-20€100kESTAC Troyes
2017-06-15€150kESTAC Troyes
2018-01-24€150kESTAC Troyes
2018-06-04€150kESTAC Troyes
2019-01-08€300kESTAC Troyes
2019-06-27€300kESTAC Troyes
2019-12-19€400kStade Reims
2020-04-08€350kStade Reims
2020-10-15€500kStade Reims
2021-06-04€500kStade Reims
2021-12-16€500kStade Reims
2022-05-30€500kStade Reims
2022-11-02€1MStade Reims
2023-03-27€5MStade Reims
2023-06-27€8MStade Reims
2023-10-16€10MStade Reims
2023-12-18€10MStade Reims
2024-06-03€8MStade Reims
2024-12-10€9MStade Reims
2025-06-03€12MStade Reims
2025-12-15€9MOGC Nice
2026-03-27€7MOGC Nice
2026-06-01€7MOGC Nice

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.145

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Ligue 1423 players · median €5M

Valued above 54% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€7MSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 84% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€7MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Diouf appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).