FairValue

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Youssef El

Kachati

CFMorocco · NEC Nijmegen

№ 444380Emerging €1M −0.46

Player dossierEredivisie

Youssef ElKachati

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
NEC Nijmegen
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Morocco
Age
26
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Kachati at €650k. Model A, which never saw Kachati during training, estimates €1M: the market value is 37% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.58. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.46A €1M▼ −0.73B €1.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
22
Minutes
539
Goals
3
Assists
3
Started
1/22
Min / app
25
Cards
0Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kachati…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €650k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €650kModel A €1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Youssef El Kachati's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 88th, Assists per 90 99th, Minutes, two years 3rd, Starts 0th, Minutes, last 365 days 17th, European club minutes 28th88thGoals99thAssists3rdMinutes0thStarts17thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.50 this player0.15 attacker median99th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Nov 2018
Peak
€800k
Jun 2025
Model target
€650k
May 2026
Valuations
9
2 club changes
May 2026€650kNEC NijmegenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €650k, NEC Nijmegen. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-11-11€25kSparta Rotterdam U21
2019-01-21€75kSparta Rotterdam U21
2024-01-08€75kSC Telstar
2024-06-10€225kSC Telstar
2024-12-10€300kSC Telstar
2025-03-14€400kSC Telstar
2025-06-09€800kSC Telstar
2025-12-02€700kNEC Nijmegen
2026-05-28€650kNEC Nijmegen

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.455

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 32% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€650kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 22% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€650kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Kachati appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).