Toyosi
Olusanya
CFEngland · Aberdeen FC
Player dossierPremiership
ToyosiOlusanya
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- Aberdeen FC
- League
- Premiership
- Nationality
- England
- Age
- 28
- Height
- 181 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 20 May 2026
PremiershipReading the valuation
The market values Olusanya at €500k. Model A, which never saw Olusanya during training, estimates €498k: the market value is level with that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.00. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 52
- Minutes
- 3,225
- Goals
- 12
- Assists
- 3
- Started
- 38/52
- Min / app
- 62
- Cards
- 13Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Olusanya…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €500k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
73% this player59% attacker median73rd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €150k
- Nov 2021
- Peak
- €800k
- Mar 2025
- Model target
- €500k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 13
- 4 club changes
May 2026: €500k, Aberdeen FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-24 | €150k | Middlesbrough FC |
| 2022-05-13 | €200k | Middlesbrough FC |
| 2022-12-13 | €200k | St. Mirren FC |
| 2023-06-26 | €200k | St. Mirren FC |
| 2023-12-05 | €250k | St. Mirren FC |
| 2024-03-20 | €400k | St. Mirren FC |
| 2024-05-30 | €500k | St. Mirren FC |
| 2024-10-02 | €650k | St. Mirren FC |
| 2024-12-03 | €750k | St. Mirren FC |
| 2025-03-12 | €800k | St. Mirren FC |
| 2025-06-05 | €600k | Houston Dynamo FC |
| 2025-11-26 | €500k | Doncaster Rovers |
| 2026-05-20 | €500k | Aberdeen FC |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.003
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premiership311 players · median €400k
Valued above 55% of the 311 Premiership players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 15% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Olusanya appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- TavernierRBRangers FC · Premiership€500k
- KingsleyLBHeart of Midlothian FC · Premiership€500k
- BråtveitGKAberdeen FC · Premiership€500k
- O'HaraDMSt. Mirren FC · Premiership€500k
- ZuberLWAtromitos Athens · attackers€500k
- JongCFFC Porto · attackers€500k
- VerbicLWLevadiakos · attackers€500k
- KodroCFReal Zaragoza · attackers€500k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).