FairValue

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Yegor

Nazaryna

CMUkraine · Shakhtar Donetsk

№ 430190Established €1.4M +0.55

Player dossierPremier Liha

YegorNazaryna

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Shakhtar Donetsk
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
28
Height
183 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Nazaryna at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Nazaryna during training, estimates €1.4M: the market value is 74% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.74. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.55A €1.4M▲ +0.78B €1.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
42
Minutes
1,826
Goals
1
Assists
1
Started
17/42
Min / app
43
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Nazaryna…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.5MModel A €1.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Yegor Nazaryna's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 34th, Assists per 90 28th, Minutes, two years 32nd, Starts 12th, Minutes, last 365 days 36th, European club minutes 61st34thGoals28thAssists32ndMinutes12thStarts36thRecent61stEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

2% this player0% midfielder median61st percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jul 2016
Peak
€2.5M
Jun 2026
Model target
€2.5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
22
4 club changes
Jun 2026€2.5MShakhtar DonetskValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €2.5M, Shakhtar Donetsk. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-07-21€100kDnipro Dnipropetrovsk II (- 2020)
2018-01-09€100kRoyal Antwerp FC
2018-03-30€200kRoyal Antwerp FC
2018-06-03€500kRoyal Antwerp FC
2018-12-27€700kRoyal Antwerp FC
2019-06-10€500kRoyal Antwerp FC
2020-01-08€500kKarpaty Lviv
2020-04-08€400kKarpaty Lviv
2020-09-04€400kZorya Lugansk
2021-01-14€700kZorya Lugansk
2021-06-07€1MZorya Lugansk
2021-12-20€1MZorya Lugansk
2022-05-18€1MZorya Lugansk
2022-12-06€1.2MShakhtar Donetsk
2023-06-21€1.2MShakhtar Donetsk
2023-12-11€1.5MShakhtar Donetsk
2024-06-06€1.5MShakhtar Donetsk
2024-12-17€1MShakhtar Donetsk
2025-06-10€1MShakhtar Donetsk
2025-12-18€1MShakhtar Donetsk
2026-03-23€1.5MShakhtar Donetsk
2026-06-02€2.5MShakhtar Donetsk

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.552

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 89% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 51% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Nazaryna appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).