Vladan

Kovacevic

GKBosnia-Herzegovina · Norwich City

№ 429070Established €2.1M +0.17

Player dossierPremier League

VladanKovacevic

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club: Norwich City
League: Premier League
Nationality: Bosnia-Herzegovina
Age: 27
Height: 192 cm
Foot: Right
Valued: 3 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Kovacevic at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Kovacevic during training, estimates €2.1M: the market value is 18% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.18. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €575k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).

Apps: 8
Minutes: 750
Started: 8/8
Min / app: 94
Cards: 0Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kovacevic…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M

Checking API

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile

70%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation: €100k; Jul 2016
Peak: €8M; Mar 2023
Model target: €2.5M; Dec 2025
Valuations: 27; 7 club changes

Dec 2025€2.5MNorwich CityValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €2.5M, Norwich City. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table

Date	Market value	Club
2016-07-19	€100k	FK Sarajevo Academy U19
2017-01-21	€100k	FK Sarajevo Academy U19
2017-07-20	€100k	FK Sarajevo
2018-03-02	€125k	FK Sloboda Mrkonjic Grad
2018-07-31	€150k	FK Sarajevo
2019-02-25	€400k	FK Sarajevo
2019-06-19	€1M	FK Sarajevo
2020-01-07	€1M	FK Sarajevo
2020-04-08	€900k	FK Sarajevo
2020-06-26	€1M	FK Sarajevo
2020-12-16	€800k	FK Sarajevo
2021-06-15	€1M	FK Sarajevo
2021-10-15	€1.5M	Raków Częstochowa
2021-12-31	€2M	Raków Częstochowa
2022-06-14	€3M	Raków Częstochowa
2022-09-29	€5M	Raków Częstochowa
2022-11-16	€5M	Raków Częstochowa
2023-03-30	€8M	Raków Częstochowa
2023-06-09	€8M	Raków Częstochowa
2023-10-06	€7M	Raków Częstochowa
2023-12-29	€7M	Raków Częstochowa
2024-06-07	€6M	Raków Częstochowa
2024-12-19	€5M	Sporting CP
2025-04-03	€4M	Legia Warszawa
2025-06-06	€3M	Legia Warszawa
2025-10-06	€2.5M	Norwich City
2025-12-03	€2.5M	Norwich City

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group: UEFA
Population gap, Model A: +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A: +0.169

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 11% of the 555 Premier League players.

See them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 64% of the 485 goalkeepers.

See them in the Explorer →

Where Kovacevic appears

TerminalPremier League in the Player Explorer
TerminalPremier League on the League Landscape

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).