Anderson
Arroyo
Player dossierPremier Liga
AndersonArroyo
RBRight-BackDefender
- Club
- Rubin Kazan
- League
- Premier Liga
- Nationality
- Colombia
- Age
- 26
- Height
- 176 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 26 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Arroyo at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Arroyo during training, estimates €2.3M: the market value is 7% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.07. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.6M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 28
- Minutes
- 2,353
- Goals
- 2
- Assists
- 2
- Started
- 27/28
- Min / app
- 84
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Arroyo…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
96% this player83% defender median88th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Mar 2016
- Peak
- €2.5M
- May 2026
- Model target
- €2.5M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 23
- 9 club changes
May 2026: €2.5M, Rubin Kazan. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2016-03-15 | €50k | Fortaleza CEIF |
| 2016-07-20 | €75k | Fortaleza CEIF |
| 2016-09-01 | €75k | Fortaleza CEIF |
| 2016-11-11 | €100k | Fortaleza CEIF |
| 2017-01-31 | €150k | Fortaleza CEIF |
| 2018-12-27 | €150k | KAA Gent |
| 2019-06-10 | €150k | KAA Gent |
| 2019-12-07 | €150k | FK Mlada Boleslav |
| 2020-10-08 | €150k | Salamanca CF UDS |
| 2021-01-07 | €150k | Salamanca CF UDS |
| 2021-06-30 | €150k | Liverpool FC U23 |
| 2021-10-13 | €400k | CD Mirandés |
| 2021-12-27 | €600k | CD Mirandés |
| 2022-06-29 | €800k | CD Mirandés |
| 2022-12-29 | €800k | Deportivo Alavés |
| 2023-06-14 | €800k | Deportivo Alavés |
| 2023-12-20 | €800k | FC Andorra |
| 2024-06-24 | €800k | Burgos CF |
| 2024-12-13 | €800k | Burgos CF |
| 2025-06-24 | €1M | Burgos CF |
| 2025-12-16 | €1.5M | Rubin Kazan |
| 2026-03-25 | €1.8M | Rubin Kazan |
| 2026-05-26 | €2.5M | Rubin Kazan |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.066
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liga412 players · median €1M
Valued above 70% of the 412 Premier Liga players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 54% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Arroyo appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- NgamaleuLWDynamo Moscow · Premier Liga€2.5M
- BakaevRWLokomotiv Moscow · Premier Liga€2.5M
- SkopintsevLBDynamo Moscow · Premier Liga€2.5M
- RudenkoLWLokomotiv Moscow · Premier Liga€2.5M
- GraditCBRC Lens · defenders€2.5M
- MainkaCB1.FC Heidenheim 1846 · defenders€2.5M
- CoufalRBTSG 1899 Hoffenheim · defenders€2.5M
- StarkCBSV Werder Bremen · defenders€2.5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).
