Ivan
Kogut
LMUkraine · Chornomorets Odesa
Player dossierPremier Liha
IvanKogut
LMLeft MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Chornomorets Odesa
- League
- Premier Liha
- Nationality
- Ukraine
- Age
- 27
- Height
- 173 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 18 Dec 2025
Reading the valuation
The market values Kogut at €250k. Model A, which never saw Kogut during training, estimates €163k: the market value is 53% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.53. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €425k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 22
- Minutes
- 1,090
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 14/22
- Min / app
- 50
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kogut…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €250k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
64% this player69% midfielder median39th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €25k
- Jun 2019
- Peak
- €250k
- Dec 2023
- Model target
- €250k
- Dec 2025
- Valuations
- 15
- 4 club changes
Dec 2025: €250k, Chornomorets Odesa. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2019-06-16 | €25k | Agrobiznes Volochysk |
| 2019-12-18 | €25k | Agrobiznes Volochysk |
| 2020-08-18 | €100k | Agrobiznes Volochysk |
| 2020-10-05 | €125k | Agrobiznes Volochysk |
| 2020-12-05 | €200k | Agrobiznes Volochysk |
| 2021-06-17 | €200k | Agrobiznes Volochysk |
| 2021-12-06 | €200k | Agrobiznes Volochysk |
| 2022-05-18 | €200k | Montecasillas FC |
| 2022-12-06 | €200k | Karpaty Lviv |
| 2023-06-21 | €175k | Karpaty Lviv |
| 2023-12-11 | €250k | Livyi Bereg Kyiv |
| 2024-06-06 | €250k | Livyi Bereg Kyiv |
| 2024-12-17 | €250k | Livyi Bereg Kyiv |
| 2025-06-10 | €250k | Livyi Bereg Kyiv |
| 2025-12-18 | €250k | Chornomorets Odesa |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.426
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liha414 players · median €400k
Valued above 17% of the 414 Premier Liha players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 5% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Kogut appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- PalamarchukGKLNZ Cherkasy · Premier Liha€250k
- RakitskyiCBChornomorets Odesa · Premier Liha€250k
- BabenkoCMPolissya Zhytomyr · Premier Liha€250k
- BoryachukCFEpicentr Kamyanets-Podilskyi · Premier Liha€250k
- FalkCMOdense Boldklub · midfielders€250k
- SydorchukDMKVC Westerlo · midfielders€250k
- StambouliDMFC Metz · midfielders€250k
- SibbaldDMDundee United FC · midfielders€250k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).