Ryan
Yates
CMEngland · Nottingham Forest
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierPremier League
RyanYates
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Nottingham Forest
- League
- Premier League
- Nationality
- England
- Age
- 28
- Height
- 190 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 3 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Yates at €7M. Model A, which never saw Yates during training, estimates €17.3M: the market value is 60% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.47. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €19.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 74
- Minutes
- 3,672
- Goals
- 6
- Assists
- 5
- Started
- 32/74
- Min / app
- 50
- Cards
- 17Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Yates…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €7M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
19% this player0% midfielder median82nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €1M
- Jun 2019
- Peak
- €13M
- Dec 2024
- Model target
- €7M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 18
- 0 club changes
Jun 2026: €7M, Nottingham Forest. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2019-06-28 | €1M | Nottingham Forest |
| 2020-02-27 | €1M | Nottingham Forest |
| 2020-04-08 | €800k | Nottingham Forest |
| 2020-10-15 | €1.5M | Nottingham Forest |
| 2021-03-10 | €2.5M | Nottingham Forest |
| 2021-06-30 | €2.5M | Nottingham Forest |
| 2021-11-24 | €3M | Nottingham Forest |
| 2022-05-13 | €4M | Nottingham Forest |
| 2022-09-15 | €8M | Nottingham Forest |
| 2022-11-03 | €8M | Nottingham Forest |
| 2023-06-20 | €11M | Nottingham Forest |
| 2023-12-19 | €12M | Nottingham Forest |
| 2024-05-27 | €12M | Nottingham Forest |
| 2024-12-16 | €13M | Nottingham Forest |
| 2025-05-30 | €12M | Nottingham Forest |
| 2025-12-09 | €10M | Nottingham Forest |
| 2026-03-09 | €8M | Nottingham Forest |
| 2026-06-03 | €7M | Nottingham Forest |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.905
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier League555 players · median €18M
Valued above 26% of the 555 Premier League players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 71% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Yates appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- RobertsonLBLiverpool FC · Premier League€7M
- WinksDMLeicester City · Premier League€7M
- ÜnalCFAFC Bournemouth · Premier League€7M
- SkippDMLeicester City · Premier League€7M
- CristanteDMAS Roma · midfielders€7M
- TaliscaAMFenerbahce · midfielders€7M
- MoroDMBologna FC 1909 · midfielders€7M
- CeballosCMReal Madrid · midfielders€7M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).