FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Jasin

Assehnoun

LWFinland · Volos NPS

№ 419828Emerging €589k −0.52

Player dossierSuper League

JasinAssehnoun

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
Volos NPS
League
Super League
Nationality
Finland
Age
26
Height
177 cm
Foot
Both
Valued
12 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Assehnoun at €350k. Model A, which never saw Assehnoun during training, estimates €589k: the market value is 41% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.68. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.52A €589k▼ −1.54B €1.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
46
Minutes
2,281
Goals
7
Assists
3
Started
25/46
Min / app
50
Cards
10Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Assehnoun…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €350k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €350kModel A €589k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Jasin Assehnoun's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 53rd, Assists per 90 39th, Minutes, two years 51st, Starts 42nd, Minutes, last 365 days 38th, European club minutes 28th53rdGoals39thAssists51stMinutes42ndStarts38thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.28 this player0.26 attacker median53rd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Jul 2018
Peak
€350k
May 2021
Model target
€350k
Dec 2025
Valuations
19
4 club changes
Dec 2025€350kVolos NPSValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €350k, Volos NPS. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-07-11€25kFC Espoo
2018-10-23€50kFC Lahti
2019-04-04€100kFC Lahti
2019-07-25€150kFC Lahti
2019-10-20€200kFC Lahti
2020-05-17€200kFC Lahti
2020-08-31€250kFC Lahti
2021-04-06€250kFC Lahti
2021-05-26€350kFC Lahti
2021-10-12€350kFC Emmen
2022-01-12€350kFC Emmen
2022-06-23€350kFC Emmen
2022-11-11€350kFC Emmen
2023-06-23€350kFC Emmen
2023-12-21€350kVejle Boldklub
2024-05-30€350kVolos NPS
2024-12-18€350kVolos NPS
2025-05-23€350kVolos NPS
2025-12-12€350kVolos NPS

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.520

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 25% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€350kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 10% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€350kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Assehnoun appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).