FairValue

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Portrait of Hervé Koffi

Hervé

Koffi

GKBurkina Faso · Angers SCO

№ 415383Established €3.4M +0.57

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierLigue 1

HervéKoffi

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Angers SCO
League
Ligue 1
Nationality
Burkina Faso
Age
29
Height
186 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
1 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Koffi at €6M. Model A, which never saw Koffi during training, estimates €3.4M: the market value is 76% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.76. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.57A €3.4M▲ +1.05B €2.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
35
Minutes
3,109
Started
35/35
Min / app
89
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Koffi…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €6M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €6MModel A €3.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Hervé Koffi's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 58th, Starts 62nd, Minutes, last 365 days 72nd, European club minutes 32nd58thMinutes62ndStarts72ndRecent32ndEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

2,659 this player1,560 goalkeeper median72nd percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,970

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Nov 2016
Peak
€6M
Jun 2026
Model target
€6M
Jun 2026
Valuations
24
6 club changes
Jun 2026€6MAngers SCOValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €6M, Angers SCO. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-11-24€100kASEC Mimosas
2017-10-12€500kLOSC Lille
2018-01-24€500kLOSC Lille
2018-06-04€500kLOSC Lille
2018-12-17€500kLOSC Lille
2019-06-03€500kLOSC Lille
2019-10-11€700kB SAD (2018-2024)
2019-12-30€1MB SAD (2018-2024)
2020-04-08€800kB SAD (2018-2024)
2020-08-06€1MRoyal Excel Mouscron (-2022)
2020-10-16€1.8MRoyal Excel Mouscron (-2022)
2021-03-17€2.4MRoyal Excel Mouscron (-2022)
2021-06-07€2.4MRoyal Excel Mouscron (-2022)
2022-01-06€2.5MRoyal Charleroi SC
2022-04-12€2MRoyal Charleroi SC
2022-11-04€1.5MRoyal Charleroi SC
2023-06-09€1.5MRoyal Charleroi SC
2023-12-19€1.3MRoyal Charleroi SC
2024-06-04€2MRoyal Charleroi SC
2024-12-10€1.5MRC Lens
2025-06-03€1.2MRC Lens
2025-12-15€3MAngers SCO
2026-03-27€5MAngers SCO
2026-06-01€6MAngers SCO

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.566

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Ligue 1423 players · median €5M

Valued above 50% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€6MSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 82% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€6MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Koffi appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).