FairValue

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Portrait of Aurélien Tchouaméni

Aurélien

Tchouaméni

DMFrance · Real Madrid

№ 413112World Class €75.7M −0.08

Photo: Bryan Berlin / WikiPortraits, CC BY-SA 4.0 (background removed)

Player dossierLaLiga

AurélienTchouaméni

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Real Madrid
League
LaLiga
Nationality
France
Age
26
Height
188 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
5 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Tchouaméni at €70M. Model A, which never saw Tchouaméni during training, estimates €75.7M: the market value is 8% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.08. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €59.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.08A €75.7M▲ +0.17B €59.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
106
Minutes
8,717
Goals
4
Assists
3
Started
101/106
Min / app
82
Cards
22Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Tchouaméni…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €70M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €70MModel A €75.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Aurélien Tchouaméni's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 29th, Assists per 90 20th, Minutes, two years 100th, Starts 93rd, Minutes, last 365 days 100th, European club minutes 95th29thGoals20thAssists100thMinutes93rdStarts100thRecent95thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

8,717 this player2,607 midfielder median100th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,624

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€5M
Sept 2018
Peak
€100M
Jun 2024
Model target
€70M
Jun 2026
Valuations
24
2 club changes
Jun 2026€70MReal MadridValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €70M, Real Madrid. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-09-06€5MFC Girondins Bordeaux
2018-12-17€5MFC Girondins Bordeaux
2019-03-07€7MFC Girondins Bordeaux
2019-06-03€7MFC Girondins Bordeaux
2019-12-19€14MFC Girondins Bordeaux
2020-02-11€17MAS Monaco
2020-04-08€15.5MAS Monaco
2020-10-12€16MAS Monaco
2021-04-09€25MAS Monaco
2021-06-04€30MAS Monaco
2021-10-08€35MAS Monaco
2021-12-16€40MAS Monaco
2022-05-30€60MAS Monaco
2022-09-23€80MReal Madrid
2022-11-07€80MReal Madrid
2022-12-23€90MReal Madrid
2023-06-13€85MReal Madrid
2023-10-13€90MReal Madrid
2023-12-22€90MReal Madrid
2024-06-07€100MReal Madrid
2024-12-27€80MReal Madrid
2025-06-09€75MReal Madrid
2025-12-12€75MReal Madrid
2026-06-05€70MReal Madrid

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.079

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

LaLiga509 players · median €4M

Valued above 98% of the 509 LaLiga players.

€100k€1M€10M€100M€70MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 98% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€70MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Tchouaméni appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).