Bryan
Mbeumo
RWCameroon · Manchester United
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierPremier League
BryanMbeumo
RWRight WingerAttack
- Club
- Manchester United
- League
- Premier League
- Nationality
- Cameroon
- Age
- 26
- Height
- 171 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 3 Jun 2026
Premier LeagueReading the valuation
The market values Mbeumo at €75M. Model A, which never saw Mbeumo during training, estimates €57.9M: the market value is 29% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.29. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €20.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 73
- Minutes
- 6,114
- Goals
- 32
- Assists
- 11
- Started
- 69/73
- Min / app
- 84
- Cards
- 7Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Mbeumo…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €75M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
95% this player59% attacker median98th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €150k
- Mar 2018
- Peak
- €80M
- Mar 2026
- Model target
- €75M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 23
- 3 club changes
Jun 2026: €75M, Manchester United. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2018-03-20 | €150k | ESTAC Troyes B |
| 2018-06-04 | €300k | ESTAC Troyes B |
| 2019-01-08 | €900k | ESTAC Troyes |
| 2019-06-03 | €3.5M | ESTAC Troyes |
| 2019-10-17 | €5M | Brentford FC |
| 2020-02-27 | €9M | Brentford FC |
| 2020-04-08 | €8M | Brentford FC |
| 2020-10-15 | €12M | Brentford FC |
| 2021-03-10 | €12M | Brentford FC |
| 2021-06-30 | €16M | Brentford FC |
| 2021-12-23 | €16M | Brentford FC |
| 2022-06-15 | €22M | Brentford FC |
| 2022-09-15 | €25M | Brentford FC |
| 2022-11-03 | €28M | Brentford FC |
| 2023-06-20 | €35M | Brentford FC |
| 2023-12-19 | €38M | Brentford FC |
| 2024-05-27 | €40M | Brentford FC |
| 2024-12-16 | €50M | Brentford FC |
| 2025-05-30 | €55M | Brentford FC |
| 2025-10-17 | €70M | Manchester United |
| 2025-12-09 | €75M | Manchester United |
| 2026-03-09 | €80M | Manchester United |
| 2026-06-03 | €75M | Manchester United |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.258
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier League555 players · median €18M
Valued above 95% of the 555 Premier League players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 99% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Mbeumo appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- ZubimendiDMArsenal FC · Premier League€75M
- GabrielCBArsenal FC · Premier League€75M
- DokuLWManchester City · Premier League€75M
- CunhaCFManchester United · Premier League€75M
- OsimhenCFGalatasaray · attackers€75M
- SeskoCFManchester United · attackers€75M
- YıldızLWJuventus FC · attackers€75M
- SemenyoRWManchester City · attackers€80M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).