FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Shurandy

Sambo

RBCuracao · Sparta Rotterdam

№ 412937Emerging €879k +0.39

Player dossierEredivisie

ShurandySambo

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
Sparta Rotterdam
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Curacao
Age
24
Height
174 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Sambo at €1.3M. Model A, which never saw Sambo during training, estimates €879k: the market value is 48% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.48. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.4M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.39A €879k▼ −0.07B €1.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
27
Minutes
1,754
Goals
0
Assists
2
Started
20/27
Min / app
65
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sambo…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.3M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.3MModel A €879k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Shurandy Sambo's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 78th, Minutes, two years 28th, Starts 33rd, Minutes, last 365 days 53rd, European club minutes 30th18thGoals78thAssists28thMinutes33rdStarts53rdRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.10 this player0.04 defender median78th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.58

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€500k
Jan 2020
Peak
€3M
Jun 2023
Model target
€1.3M
May 2026
Valuations
16
4 club changes
May 2026€1.3MSparta RotterdamValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.3M, Sparta Rotterdam. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-01-17€500kPSV Eindhoven U21
2020-04-08€450kPSV Eindhoven U21
2020-06-29€425kPSV Eindhoven U21
2020-12-31€550kPSV Eindhoven U21
2022-01-12€500kPSV Eindhoven U21
2022-06-23€500kPSV Eindhoven U21
2022-11-11€700kSparta Rotterdam
2023-06-23€3MSparta Rotterdam
2023-12-15€2.5MPSV Eindhoven
2024-03-18€2MPSV Eindhoven
2024-05-31€2MPSV Eindhoven
2024-12-30€2MBurnley FC
2025-05-27€2MBurnley FC
2025-12-02€2MSparta Rotterdam
2026-03-11€1.5MSparta Rotterdam
2026-05-28€1.3MSparta Rotterdam

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.391

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 52% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€1.3MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 42% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.3MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Sambo appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).