FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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  • TerminalMarket LandscapeHow observed value is distributed, and where the model drifts.

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Portrait of Robert Sánchez

Robert

Sánchez

GKSpain · Chelsea FC

№ 403151Elite €31.3M −0.35

Close-up

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

RobertSánchez

GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper

Club
Chelsea FC
League
Premier League
Nationality
Spain
Age
28
Height
197 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Sánchez at €22M. Model A, which never saw Sánchez during training, estimates €31.3M: the market value is 30% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.42. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €38.6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.35A €31.3M▼ −0.56B €38.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
88
Minutes
7,826
Started
87/88
Min / app
89
Cards
9Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sánchez…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €22M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €22MModel A €31.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers

Robert Sánchez's percentiles among goalkeepers: Minutes, two years 97th, Starts 23rd, Minutes, last 365 days 100th, European club minutes 80th97thMinutes23rdStarts100thRecent80thEurope

Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

4,856 this player1,560 goalkeeper median100th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,970

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Jul 2020
Peak
€32M
Nov 2022
Model target
€22M
Jun 2026
Valuations
19
1 club change
Jun 2026€22MChelsea FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €22M, Chelsea FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-07-30€150kBrighton & Hove Albion
2020-10-13€150kBrighton & Hove Albion
2021-03-18€5MBrighton & Hove Albion
2021-05-31€8MBrighton & Hove Albion
2021-10-05€11MBrighton & Hove Albion
2021-12-23€11MBrighton & Hove Albion
2022-03-29€14MBrighton & Hove Albion
2022-06-15€16MBrighton & Hove Albion
2022-09-15€25MBrighton & Hove Albion
2022-11-03€32MBrighton & Hove Albion
2023-06-20€22MBrighton & Hove Albion
2023-10-09€28MChelsea FC
2023-12-19€30MChelsea FC
2024-03-14€25MChelsea FC
2024-05-27€20MChelsea FC
2024-12-16€20MChelsea FC
2025-05-30€20MChelsea FC
2025-12-09€22MChelsea FC
2026-06-03€22MChelsea FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.353

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 59% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€22MSee them in the Explorer →

Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M

Valued above 95% of the 485 goalkeepers.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€22MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Sánchez appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).