FairValue

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Aleksey

Mironov

CMRussia · FC Rostov

№ 402625Emerging €1.9M −0.04

Player dossierPremier Liga

AlekseyMironov

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
FC Rostov
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Russia
Age
26
Height
175 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Mironov at €1.8M. Model A, which never saw Mironov during training, estimates €1.9M: the market value is 4% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.04. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.04A €1.9M▲ +0.35B €1.3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
34
Minutes
2,411
Goals
3
Assists
2
Started
26/34
Min / app
71
Cards
8Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Mironov…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.8M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.8MModel A €1.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Aleksey Mironov's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 60th, Assists per 90 41st, Minutes, two years 46th, Starts 64th, Minutes, last 365 days 76th, European club minutes 30th60thGoals41stAssists46thMinutes64thStarts76thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

2,396 this player1,541 midfielder median76th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,800

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€250k
Dec 2016
Peak
€1.8M
May 2026
Model target
€1.8M
May 2026
Valuations
23
4 club changes
May 2026€1.8MFC RostovValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.8M, FC Rostov. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-12-02€250kUnknown
2017-06-01€250kUnknown
2018-06-06€300kLokomotiv Moscow II
2018-12-20€300kLokomotiv-Kazanka Moscow
2019-06-14€300kLokomotiv-Kazanka Moscow
2019-12-23€250kLokomotiv-Kazanka Moscow
2020-06-29€250kLokomotiv-Kazanka Moscow
2020-12-29€300kFC Orenburg
2021-04-12€400kFC Orenburg
2021-05-24€450kFC Orenburg
2021-12-07€500kFC Orenburg
2022-05-30€450kFC Orenburg
2022-09-12€700kFC Rostov
2022-11-21€700kFC Rostov
2023-06-14€1.2MFC Rostov
2023-12-13€1.2MFC Rostov
2024-06-04€1MFC Rostov
2024-12-12€700kFC Rostov
2025-06-04€600kFC Rostov
2025-09-18€800kFC Rostov
2025-12-16€1.2MFC Rostov
2026-03-25€1.5MFC Rostov
2026-05-26€1.8MFC Rostov

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.038

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 64% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 44% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.8MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Mironov appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).