FairValue

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Maksym

Lunyov

LWUkraine · Chornomorets Odesa

№ 401822Emerging €363k +0.32

Player dossierPremier Liha

MaksymLunyov

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
Chornomorets Odesa
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
27
Height
183 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
18 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Lunyov at €500k. Model A, which never saw Lunyov during training, estimates €363k: the market value is 38% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.38. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.32A €363k▼ −1.00B €1.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
35
Minutes
1,766
Goals
3
Assists
1
Started
22/35
Min / app
50
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Lunyov…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €500k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €500kModel A €363k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Maksym Lunyov's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 24th, Assists per 90 16th, Minutes, two years 38th, Starts 56th, Minutes, last 365 days 12th, European club minutes 75th24thGoals16thAssists38thMinutes56thStarts12thRecent75thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

13% this player0% attacker median75th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Sept 2016
Peak
€700k
Jan 2018
Model target
€500k
Dec 2025
Valuations
22
5 club changes
Dec 2025€500kChornomorets OdesaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €500k, Chornomorets Odesa. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-09-30€100kDnipro Dnipropetrovsk II (- 2020)
2017-01-03€300kDnipro Dnipropetrovsk (- 2020)
2017-06-26€400kDnipro Dnipropetrovsk (- 2020)
2018-01-12€700kZorya Lugansk
2018-08-06€600kZorya Lugansk
2018-12-10€500kZorya Lugansk
2019-06-20€500kZorya Lugansk
2020-01-08€500kZorya Lugansk
2020-04-08€450kZorya Lugansk
2020-09-04€400kZorya Lugansk
2021-01-14€400kZorya Lugansk
2021-06-07€400kZorya Lugansk
2021-12-20€400kZorya Lugansk
2022-05-18€400kZorya Lugansk
2022-12-06€300kZorya Lugansk
2023-06-21€400kKryvbas Kryvyi Rig
2023-12-11€400kKryvbas Kryvyi Rig
2024-06-06€700kKryvbas Kryvyi Rig
2024-12-17€700kKryvbas Kryvyi Rig
2025-06-10€700kKryvbas Kryvyi Rig
2025-10-21€600kWithout Club
2025-12-18€500kChornomorets Odesa

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.321

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 52% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 15% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Lunyov appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).