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Denil

Maldonado

CBHonduras · Rubin Kazan

№ 401769Established €804k +0.91

Player dossierPremier Liga

DenilMaldonado

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Rubin Kazan
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Honduras
Age
28
Height
183 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Maldonado at €2M. Model A, which never saw Maldonado during training, estimates €804k: the market value is 149% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.49. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.2M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.91A €804k▲ +0.50B €1.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
9
Minutes
720
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
8/9
Min / app
80
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Maldonado…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2MModel A €804k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Denil Maldonado's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 6th, Starts 66th, Minutes, last 365 days 19th, European club minutes 30th18thGoals17thAssists6thMinutes66thStarts19thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

89% this player83% defender median66th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€600k
Feb 2020
Peak
€2M
May 2026
Model target
€2M
May 2026
Valuations
19
5 club changes
May 2026€2MRubin KazanValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2M, Rubin Kazan. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-02-11€600kCF Pachuca
2020-04-08€525kCF Pachuca
2020-06-27€500kCF Pachuca
2020-11-10€500kCD Everton
2021-03-11€500kCD Everton
2021-10-22€500kCD Everton
2022-06-20€450kCD Motagua Tegucigalpa
2022-12-23€450kCD Motagua Tegucigalpa
2023-08-22€600kLos Angeles FC
2023-12-18€600kLos Angeles FC
2024-03-22€700kUniversitatea Craiova
2024-06-05€650kUniversitatea Craiova
2024-09-13€900kUniversitatea Craiova
2024-12-19€1.2MUniversitatea Craiova
2025-03-26€1.5MUniversitatea Craiova
2025-06-10€1.8MUniversitatea Craiova
2025-12-16€1.5MRubin Kazan
2026-03-25€1.8MRubin Kazan
2026-05-26€2MRubin Kazan

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.911

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 65% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 49% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Maldonado appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).