Denil
Maldonado
CBHonduras · Rubin Kazan
Player dossierPremier Liga
DenilMaldonado
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Rubin Kazan
- League
- Premier Liga
- Nationality
- Honduras
- Age
- 28
- Height
- 183 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 26 May 2026
Premier LigaReading the valuation
The market values Maldonado at €2M. Model A, which never saw Maldonado during training, estimates €804k: the market value is 149% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.49. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.2M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 9
- Minutes
- 720
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 8/9
- Min / app
- 80
- Cards
- 2Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Maldonado…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
89% this player83% defender median66th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €600k
- Feb 2020
- Peak
- €2M
- May 2026
- Model target
- €2M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 19
- 5 club changes
May 2026: €2M, Rubin Kazan. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-02-11 | €600k | CF Pachuca |
| 2020-04-08 | €525k | CF Pachuca |
| 2020-06-27 | €500k | CF Pachuca |
| 2020-11-10 | €500k | CD Everton |
| 2021-03-11 | €500k | CD Everton |
| 2021-10-22 | €500k | CD Everton |
| 2022-06-20 | €450k | CD Motagua Tegucigalpa |
| 2022-12-23 | €450k | CD Motagua Tegucigalpa |
| 2023-08-22 | €600k | Los Angeles FC |
| 2023-12-18 | €600k | Los Angeles FC |
| 2024-03-22 | €700k | Universitatea Craiova |
| 2024-06-05 | €650k | Universitatea Craiova |
| 2024-09-13 | €900k | Universitatea Craiova |
| 2024-12-19 | €1.2M | Universitatea Craiova |
| 2025-03-26 | €1.5M | Universitatea Craiova |
| 2025-06-10 | €1.8M | Universitatea Craiova |
| 2025-12-16 | €1.5M | Rubin Kazan |
| 2026-03-25 | €1.8M | Rubin Kazan |
| 2026-05-26 | €2M | Rubin Kazan |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.911
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liga412 players · median €1M
Valued above 65% of the 412 Premier Liga players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 49% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Maldonado appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- ZobninCMSpartak Moscow · Premier Liga€2M
- KaravaevRBZenit St. Petersburg · Premier Liga€2M
- MiranchukAMDynamo Moscow · Premier Liga€2M
- ZinkovskiyLWFC Sochi · Premier Liga€2M
- HummelsCBAS Roma · defenders€2M
- GünterLBSC Freiburg · defenders€2M
- KohrCB1.FSV Mainz 05 · defenders€2M
- KayembeLBKRC Genk · defenders€2M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).