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Arthur

Gomes

LWBrazil · Dynamo Moscow

№ 401534Established €1.4M +0.76

Player dossierPremier Liga

ArthurGomes

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
Dynamo Moscow
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Brazil
Age
27
Height
175 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Gomes at €3M. Model A, which never saw Gomes during training, estimates €1.4M: the market value is 115% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.15. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.8M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.76A €1.4M▲ +0.49B €1.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
36
Minutes
1,881
Goals
7
Assists
5
Started
24/36
Min / app
52
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Gomes…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3MModel A €1.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Arthur Gomes's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 64th, Assists per 90 81st, Minutes, two years 41st, Starts 63rd, Minutes, last 365 days 28th, European club minutes 28th64thGoals81stAssists41stMinutes63rdStarts28thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.24 this player0.15 attacker median81st percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€500k
Dec 2017
Peak
€4M
Sept 2022
Model target
€3M
May 2026
Valuations
22
7 club changes
May 2026€3MDynamo MoscowValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €3M, Dynamo Moscow. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-12-07€500kSantos FC
2018-05-23€1MSantos FC
2019-02-18€1MSantos FC
2019-10-16€2MAssociação Chapecoense de Futebol
2019-11-27€1.5MAssociação Chapecoense de Futebol
2020-04-08€1.3MSantos FC
2020-09-09€1MSantos FC
2020-10-08€2MSantos FC
2021-02-09€1.8MSantos FC
2021-05-28€1.8MAtlético Clube Goianiense
2021-12-27€1.5MGD Estoril Praia
2022-05-31€1.5MGD Estoril Praia
2022-09-16€4MSporting CP
2022-11-01€4MSporting CP
2023-06-16€3MSporting CP
2023-12-11€3MCruzeiro Esporte Clube
2024-03-28€3MCruzeiro Esporte Clube
2024-06-17€3MCruzeiro Esporte Clube
2024-12-12€4MDynamo Moscow
2025-06-04€3.5MDynamo Moscow
2025-12-16€3MDynamo Moscow
2026-05-26€3MDynamo Moscow

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.764

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 77% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 52% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Gomes appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).