Eljif
Elmas
AMNorth Macedonia · SSC Napoli
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierSerie A
EljifElmas
AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- SSC Napoli
- League
- Serie A
- Nationality
- North Macedonia
- Age
- 26
- Height
- 184 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 29 May 2026
Serie AReading the valuation
The market values Elmas at €13M. Model A, which never saw Elmas during training, estimates €15.3M: the market value is 15% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.18. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €7.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 63
- Minutes
- 3,596
- Goals
- 5
- Assists
- 5
- Started
- 40/63
- Min / app
- 57
- Cards
- 6Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Elmas…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €13M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Minutes, last 365 days
Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.
2,481 this player1,541 midfielder median79th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €150k
- May 2016
- Peak
- €26M
- Mar 2023
- Model target
- €13M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 27
- 5 club changes
May 2026: €13M, SSC Napoli. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2016-05-25 | €150k | Rabotnicki Skopje |
| 2016-12-14 | €350k | Rabotnicki Skopje |
| 2017-06-17 | €500k | Rabotnicki Skopje |
| 2018-02-12 | €500k | Fenerbahce |
| 2018-05-29 | €500k | Fenerbahce |
| 2018-10-11 | €2.5M | Fenerbahce |
| 2019-01-04 | €7.5M | Fenerbahce |
| 2019-06-04 | €10M | Fenerbahce |
| 2019-10-08 | €17M | SSC Napoli |
| 2019-12-12 | €17M | SSC Napoli |
| 2020-04-08 | €15.5M | SSC Napoli |
| 2020-08-25 | €18M | SSC Napoli |
| 2020-12-29 | €18M | SSC Napoli |
| 2021-05-27 | €17M | SSC Napoli |
| 2021-12-28 | €24M | SSC Napoli |
| 2022-06-07 | €24M | SSC Napoli |
| 2022-11-11 | €23M | SSC Napoli |
| 2023-03-21 | €26M | SSC Napoli |
| 2023-06-15 | €26M | SSC Napoli |
| 2023-12-20 | €24M | SSC Napoli |
| 2024-05-29 | €20M | RB Leipzig |
| 2024-10-09 | €15M | RB Leipzig |
| 2024-12-20 | €12M | RB Leipzig |
| 2025-03-25 | €14M | Torino FC |
| 2025-06-17 | €14M | Torino FC |
| 2025-12-23 | €14M | SSC Napoli |
| 2026-05-29 | €13M | SSC Napoli |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.162
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Serie A507 players · median €5.5M
Valued above 72% of the 507 Serie A players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 83% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Elmas appears
- TerminalSerie A in the Player Explorer
- TerminalSerie A on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- ØstigårdCBGenoa CFC · Serie A€13M
- CaqueretCMComo 1907 · Serie A€13M
- HeggemCBBologna FC 1909 · Serie A€13M
- VitíkCBBologna FC 1909 · Serie A€13M
- McGinnCMAston Villa · midfielders€13M
- TanakaCMLeeds United · midfielders€13M
- GloukhAMAjax Amsterdam · midfielders€13M
- StageCMSV Werder Bremen · midfielders€14M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).