Gonzalo
Villar
CMSpain · Elche CF
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierLaLiga
GonzaloVillar
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Elche CF
- League
- LaLiga
- Nationality
- Spain
- Age
- 28
- Height
- 181 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 5 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Villar at €1.8M. Model A, which never saw Villar during training, estimates €2.4M: the market value is 24% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.31. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.6M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 15
- Minutes
- 744
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 8/15
- Min / app
- 50
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Villar…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.8M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
3% this player0% midfielder median63rd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Aug 2017
- Peak
- €15M
- Mar 2021
- Model target
- €1.8M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 26
- 8 club changes
Jun 2026: €1.8M, Elche CF. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2017-08-17 | €50k | Valencia Mestalla |
| 2018-01-01 | €100k | Valencia Mestalla |
| 2018-05-30 | €200k | Valencia Mestalla |
| 2018-09-17 | €200k | Elche CF |
| 2019-02-19 | €300k | Elche CF |
| 2019-06-29 | €300k | Elche CF |
| 2019-12-20 | €700k | Elche CF |
| 2020-02-11 | €3M | AS Roma |
| 2020-04-08 | €2.7M | AS Roma |
| 2020-08-25 | €3M | AS Roma |
| 2020-12-29 | €10M | AS Roma |
| 2021-03-23 | €15M | AS Roma |
| 2021-06-03 | €15M | AS Roma |
| 2021-10-14 | €14M | AS Roma |
| 2021-12-28 | €10M | AS Roma |
| 2022-03-21 | €7.5M | Getafe CF |
| 2022-06-03 | €5M | Getafe CF |
| 2022-11-11 | €4.5M | UC Sampdoria |
| 2023-06-13 | €2.8M | Getafe CF |
| 2023-12-22 | €2.8M | Granada CF |
| 2024-06-07 | €3M | Granada CF |
| 2024-12-13 | €3M | Granada CF |
| 2025-03-27 | €2M | Granada CF |
| 2025-06-24 | €2M | Granada CF |
| 2025-12-22 | €1.8M | GNK Dinamo Zagreb |
| 2026-06-05 | €1.8M | Elche CF |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.270
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 44% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Villar appears
- TerminalLaLiga in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLaLiga on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- LejeuneCBRayo Vallecano · LaLiga€1.8M
- RyanGKLevante UD · LaLiga€1.8M
- DendonckerDMReal Oviedo · LaLiga€1.8M
- GazzanigaGKGirona FC · LaLiga€1.8M
- StögerAMBorussia Mönchengladbach · midfielders€1.8M
- GerhardtCMVfL Wolfsburg · midfielders€1.8M
- BelkeblaCMAngers SCO · midfielders€1.8M
- PflückeRMRoyal Charleroi SC · midfielders€1.8M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).