FairValue

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Dennis

Man

RWRomania · PSV Eindhoven

№ 397486Elite €13.9M +0.08

Player dossierEredivisie

DennisMan

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
PSV Eindhoven
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Romania
Age
27
Height
183 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Man at €15M. Model A, which never saw Man during training, estimates €13.9M: the market value is 8% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.08. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €7.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.08A €13.9M▲ +0.65B €7.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
69
Minutes
4,138
Goals
15
Assists
12
Started
52/69
Min / app
60
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Man…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €15M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €15MModel A €13.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Dennis Man's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 62nd, Assists per 90 85th, Minutes, two years 83rd, Starts 76th, Minutes, last 365 days 75th, European club minutes 72nd62ndGoals85thAssists83rdMinutes76thStarts75thRecent72ndEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.26 this player0.15 attacker median85th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€75k
Dec 2015
Peak
€17M
Dec 2024
Model target
€15M
May 2026
Valuations
33
4 club changes
May 2026€15MPSV EindhovenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €15M, PSV Eindhoven. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-12-07€75kUTA Bătrâna Doamnă Arad
2016-06-01€200kUTA Bătrâna Doamnă Arad
2016-12-21€300kSteaua Bucharest
2017-06-17€250kSteaua Bucharest
2017-09-29€600kFCSB
2017-12-27€1.2MFCSB
2018-06-14€2.2MFCSB
2018-09-24€2.7MFCSB
2018-12-23€3.5MFCSB
2019-04-04€4.5MFCSB
2019-06-18€5.5MFCSB
2019-12-21€5.5MFCSB
2020-04-08€5MFCSB
2020-08-05€5MFCSB
2020-12-18€6.5MFCSB
2021-03-23€11MParma Calcio 1913
2021-06-03€10MParma Calcio 1913
2021-12-29€8MParma Calcio 1913
2022-06-06€6.5MParma Calcio 1913
2022-12-22€5MParma Calcio 1913
2023-03-20€4MParma Calcio 1913
2023-06-12€3.2MParma Calcio 1913
2023-10-11€3.5MParma Calcio 1913
2023-12-27€5MParma Calcio 1913
2024-03-25€6.5MParma Calcio 1913
2024-06-03€9MParma Calcio 1913
2024-07-18€10MParma Calcio 1913
2024-10-18€15MParma Calcio 1913
2024-12-18€17MParma Calcio 1913
2025-03-25€12.5MParma Calcio 1913
2025-06-17€10MParma Calcio 1913
2025-12-02€13MPSV Eindhoven
2026-05-28€15MPSV Eindhoven

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.078

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 95% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€15MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 81% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€15MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Man appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).