FairValue

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Rodrigo

Escoval

CBPortugal · Akron Tolyatti

№ 396428Emerging €870k −0.08

Player dossierPremier Liga

RodrigoEscoval

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Akron Tolyatti
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Portugal
Age
29
Height
188 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Escoval at €800k. Model A, which never saw Escoval during training, estimates €870k: the market value is 8% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.09. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.08A €870k▼ −1.44B €3.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
55
Minutes
3,736
Goals
2
Assists
0
Started
41/55
Min / app
68
Cards
10Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Escoval…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €800kModel A €870k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Rodrigo Escoval's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 62nd, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 65th, Starts 34th, Minutes, last 365 days 40th, European club minutes 30th62ndGoals17thAssists65thMinutes34thStarts40thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

3,736 this player2,860 defender median65th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,111

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Sept 2016
Peak
€900k
Jun 2025
Model target
€800k
May 2026
Valuations
23
6 club changes
May 2026€800kAkron TolyattiValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €800k, Akron Tolyatti. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-09-30€50kSL Benfica B
2017-06-30€150kSL Benfica B
2017-10-23€150kNK Istra 1961
2018-03-18€250kHNK Rijeka
2018-09-25€400kHNK Rijeka
2019-03-11€750kHNK Rijeka
2019-09-16€600kHNK Rijeka
2019-12-27€600kHNK Rijeka
2020-04-08€475kHNK Rijeka
2020-07-27€400kHNK Rijeka
2020-12-28€600kHNK Rijeka
2021-06-10€450kHNK Rijeka
2021-12-30€300kHNK Rijeka
2022-06-20€250kAnorthosis Famagusta
2022-11-07€500kVolos NFC
2023-05-22€500kVolos NFC
2023-12-27€500kFC Vizela
2024-06-06€400kFC Vizela
2024-09-18€600kAkron Tolyatti
2024-12-12€800kAkron Tolyatti
2025-06-04€900kAkron Tolyatti
2025-12-16€800kAkron Tolyatti
2026-05-26€800kAkron Tolyatti

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.084

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 33% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 29% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Escoval appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).