FairValue

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Aleksandar

Jukic

CMAustria · Rubin Kazan

№ 393699Emerging €1M −0.40

Player dossierPremier Liga

AleksandarJukic

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
Rubin Kazan
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Austria
Age
25
Height
184 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Jukic at €700k. Model A, which never saw Jukic during training, estimates €1M: the market value is 33% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.49. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €672k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.40A €1M▲ +0.04B €672k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
22
Minutes
981
Goals
3
Assists
2
Started
9/22
Min / app
45
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Jukic…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €700k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €700kModel A €1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Aleksandar Jukic's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 92nd, Assists per 90 80th, Minutes, two years 13th, Starts 13th, Minutes, last 365 days 18th, European club minutes 30th92ndGoals80thAssists13thMinutes13thStarts18thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.28 this player0.08 midfielder median92nd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.93

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Jul 2018
Peak
€1.3M
May 2022
Model target
€700k
May 2026
Valuations
20
3 club changes
May 2026€700kRubin KazanValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €700k, Rubin Kazan. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-07-02€50kYoung Violets Austria Wien
2018-12-01€125kYoung Violets Austria Wien
2019-06-01€125kYoung Violets Austria Wien
2019-12-03€175kYoung Violets Austria Wien
2020-07-31€400kYoung Violets Austria Wien
2020-12-21€600kAustria Vienna
2021-06-02€600kAustria Vienna
2021-12-16€700kAustria Vienna
2022-03-11€1MAustria Vienna
2022-05-27€1.3MAustria Vienna
2022-11-10€1.3MAustria Vienna
2023-06-12€1.1MAustria Vienna
2023-09-11€800kAustria Vienna
2023-12-11€800kAustria Vienna
2024-06-04€800kFC Sochi
2024-12-12€700kRubin Kazan
2025-06-04€600kRubin Kazan
2025-09-18€900kRubin Kazan
2025-12-16€800kRubin Kazan
2026-05-26€700kRubin Kazan

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.398

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 24% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 23% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€700kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Jukic appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).